สรุป ประเทศ เลบานอน ฉบับสมบูรณ์ /โดย ลงทุนแมน
เลบานอน ประเทศเล็กๆ ที่ตั้งอยู่ในภูมิภาคตะวันออกกลาง
มีชายฝั่งทะเลเมดิเตอร์เรเนียนอยู่ทางทิศตะวันตก
ทิศเหนือและทิศตะวันออกถูกล้อมรอบด้วยประเทศซีเรีย ส่วนทางทิศใต้ติดกับประเทศอิสราเอล
...Continue ReadingSummary of Lebanon. Complete edition / Investman
Lebanon, a small country located in the Middle East region.
There's a Mediterranean coast on the west.
North and East are surrounded by Syria, south bound by Israel.
When I see from the location, it's not difficult to guess.
Conflict and Civil War from neighboring countries
Must impact the economy of this country. Not more or less.
Even Lebanon doesn't have as much oil as other Arab countries in the Middle East region.
But did you know that people in this country have more GDP per capita than Thai people..
So what is the economy of Lebanon now?
Investman will tell you about it.
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Lebanon has an area of only 10,452 square kilometers close to Khon Kaen province.
But there are over 6.8 million population
Making population density in this country up to 650 people per square kilometer.
Density populations come from country's abundance.
Lebanese area is one of the most fertile areas in the Middle East area.
And by the Mediterranean coastline.
This land is so many people have come to colonize as a trade city since thousands of years ago.
Historically, this land was formerly the Phoenician Empire which has been famous for railroading and trade since 3,000 years ago, Kristol.
Before being mixed into the Roman Empire.
When I arrived in the Middle Ages, this land became a Christian community in the Crusade war.
Lebanese lands were taken over by the Ottoman Empire, which was the Muslim Empire until the Ottoman Empire collapsed after losing WWII, the British and France champions.
So the lands were brought into their own mandate.
By France, Mediterranean coastal lands take over.
Subsequently divided into northern Syria, drought and fruitful southern Lebanon.
Lebanese's fertility makes Beirut Capital become a major commercial hub of the region. Lebanese businessmen have developed capital into financial hub.
When rich, money comes to build a beautiful jar house building according to French influence until Beirut is nicknamed ′′ Paris of Middle East
When I get independence from France in July. B.E. 1943
Lebanese independence period, there are more Christians than Muslims.
So there is a national agreement that the president must be Christians.
But then when Muslims are more proportional, they start to offend.
There are several incident of presidential assassination.
Lebanon is the only country in the Middle East with Christians in the highest proportion.
It's about 35 % of the population, while another population of 60 % are Muslims.
Religious conflict led to Lebanese civil war that lasted over 15 years.
Since the year of July. 1975-1975 1990 Damage to the beautiful buildings of Beirut
In terms of the economy.
Lebanon is a fertile country so it exports many crops.
Especially crops growing in a Mediterranean climate.
Grapes, olives, fruits, citrus and nuts, including wine and olive oil.
But agricultural crops are not Lebanese's most important export products..
Lebanon's number 1 export product is 41 % gems and jewelry.
Year 2019, Lebanon exports these products to over 37,000 million baht.
Lebanon doesn't have many sources of minerals or gems.
With regard to Beirut is a trading and financial hub.
A Lebanese businessman is an international trade associate in Africa and Arab countries.
No import tax on mineral assets, metals and jewellery enables Lebanon to import precious mineral from African countries for cheap.
Plus, the smart Lebanese artisans and wage are almost half cheaper than European regional artisans.
Make Beirut one of the key gemstone hubs.
Tabbah company Lebanese jewelry company leaders in jewelry design
There are customers all over the world
Apart from agricultural produce and gems
With Lebanon's foundations of ancient kingdoms.
Lebanon has many ancient landmarks, Roman Theatre, Christ Church.
The Ottoman Mosque is a small country but has more than 5 cultural world heritage.
Tourism is a major economic sector. In 2018, there were 4.7 million tourists.
Make money over 2.6 hundred thousand baht.
Not much population but Lebanon has economic diversity
Make Lebanese economic size 1.8 trillion baht
Lebanese have GDP per capita 267,000 baht.
More than Thai people with GDP per capita, 237,000 baht.
However, since the Civil War in Syria.
Slow down Lebanese's economy, especially tourism sector
By the number of tourists dropped from the highest point in 2012, at 5.5 million to nearly 1 million people.
Reduced income has deficit Lebanon.
Government expenditure increasing, both from economic stimulating policies.
And to support over 1 million Syrian immigrants.
Lebanese public debt skyrocketed to 155 % of GDP
So the government needs to earn more income by trying to tax both cigarettes, oil tax and tax for phone calls via social media from Social Media such as WhatsApp, Facebook Messenger, FaceTime
This causes displeasure to the public that led to violent protests in 2019
Destroyed Lebanon's GDP in 2019, more than 5.6 % negative.
But that wasn't enough..
2020 Lebanon's economy was repeated by the COVID-19 outbreak.
Lebanon has more than 5,000 COVID-19 infected people amid a heavy outbreak in the region, especially neighboring countries like Israel.
Make tourism and economic activity halt
Repeat the broken economy. Let's get worse
Besides that, there was a recent incident unexpectedly..
Big bomb incident 2 ripple at Port Beirut on August 4
Heavy damage to Beirut, Lebanese economic hub.
Government has set for capital to become disaster areas.
And declared an emergency situation for 2 weeks
Nobody knows when this bad thing will end.
2020 was a heavy year for all countries
And the most tough country should have this country in it.. Lebanon
May everything go well.
#PrayForLebanon..
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References
-http://www.worldstopexports.com/lebanons-top-10-exports/
-https://atlas.cid.harvard.edu/countries/124/export-basket
-https://blog.blominvestbank.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/Lebanese-Jewelry-Industry-Radiant-yet-Opaque1.pdf
-https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?locations=LBTranslated
population of european region 在 Mohd Asri Facebook 八卦
"If you don't follow the stock market, you are missing some amazing drama."
[SIX REASONS WHY BURSA COMPOSITE INDEX WILL BREAK 2,000 BY END 2015 BY DR. NAZRI KHAN]
I am going to stick my neck out here and making a gutsy speculation that KLCI will break above 2,000 level, two years from now. Yes, seriously as early as December 2015.
While that might sound crazy (KLCI is still struggling with 1800 this week), let me humbly justify with SIX undisputable reasons why Bursa will hit 2,000 magic numbers.
REASON 1 : Subprime Crisis Is Over. Solid USA & European Economies.
The USA economy is in its best performance since the depths of the financial recession in 2008. Bloomberg consensus expect USA to post solid economic growth of more than 3% through 2016 and 6% unemployment rate by end 2014, the best rate in five years. The worst is also over for Europe. Europe especially the PIGS (Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain) had an extremely severe reaction to the 2008 financial panic due to sovereign debt but as last quarter 2013 their economies are no longer shrinking and in fact are making a modest incremental economic growth since 2008. Both the USA and Europe are Malaysia largest trading partner and represents important sources of demand for goods from every other region. Solid economic recovery in the USA and Europe suggest stronger exports, higher corporate earnings and of course higher Bursa price.
REASON 2 : Average KLCI Annual Gains Since 1977 Is 30%
Look and check this out on Bloomberg, KLCI has easily gained 135% since 2008 and a total of 2015% since 1977 (meaning average of 26% per year). So when you start to look at a 26% price gain per year, and you add in Bursa average of 4% dividends, you are talking about a 30% return average every years. 2000 magic numbers will only represent a cheap 5% gain for KLCI per year from here. Now don’t tell me KLCI hitting 2000 psycho level is a big deal.
REASON 3 : Improved External + Cheap Valuation = More Foreign Inflows.
Fundamentally speaking, the remarkable fact is that even after this incredible 2008-2013 run-up the FBMKLCI index is only selling at 15.5 times estimated 2014 earnings. Reasonable price, at least compared to the super glory time in 1990-1994 where KLCI valuation is 40 times! Remember, I haven’t talk about the foreign inflow which now stand at three years low. S&P 500 companies alone are sitting on USD3 trillion in cash equivalents. Assuming 1% of inflow will inject extra RM100bil per year into Bursa equity. And that could be another reason the market will continue to rise.
REASON 4 : Huge Untapped Liquidity. Millions Of Retailers Are Yet To Jump.
Secondly, only 0.4% of Malaysian are currently actively invested in the market (based on 100,000 active retail investors and 28 million Malaysian population as at Dec 2013). Headlines speak to the fact that as the market advanced, more money is moving back into equities. And that is true. And don’t forget, as at end last year, we have RM326 billion funds invested in unit trust which will plough back into Bursa Malaysia. So given this untapped liquidity, I can easily bet there appears to be an imminent euphoria here in the Malaysia market especially when KLCI broke above 1900 this year.
REASON 5 : Current Bull Is Still Young
2014 should be the sixth year of the bull run which started since 2009. Well, since 1977, the average duration of a Malaysian bull market is 9.8 years, and the average return is 275%. We should understand the bull momentum gradually became stronger as the bull market continued year after year, and normally grow exponentially in the last five years. This bull starting in October 2008 has not even matched that average. It is now only 5.5 years old running with a return of 135%. Meaning we have at least another 4.3 years (till July 2019) and further 140% upside to whack
REASON 6 : Retail Traders Are Roaring
Last but not least, I am impressed by looking at the tiger attitude of retail traders especially the younger ones. Out of nowhere, I see thousands of retail investors from colourful background (engineers, teachers, MLM product owners to idle housewives) fully embraced 2013 bull market, ignoring any threat from the hottest 2013 Malaysia general election and chasing stocks like there is no tomorrow. Trading gallery now is full to the brim and training seminar is packed like a world class soccer match. Buying into speculatively unknown and underperforming names such as Tiger, Palette, Nicorp, Ingenco, Winsun, AMedia & Luster. This strong retail trend should signal more good times to come. I just can’t wait for the last bull stage in 2019 where taxi drivers, mamak staller and even house maids to jump and buy Iris, Sumatec and KNM.
I Rest My Case.
xxxxx
Affin Long Term View : Runaway Bull 2015-2016, Euphoria Bull 2017-2018, Buying Climax & Next Crash 2019-2020
Long Term Strategy : Buy Any Local Bluechips Warrants OR Buy MSCI Malaysia ETF Long Term Options (EWM), Hold Five Years
Affin Low Risk Favourites (Watch For 5 Year Warrants If Available) :
TENAGA (Price RM11.85)
TM (Price RM5.55)
SKPETRO (Price RM4.51)
AIRPORTS (Price RM8.11)
BIMB (Price RM4.29)
TAKAFUL (Price RM10.26)
BURSA (Price RM7.79)
POS (Price RM5.55)
QL RESOURCES (Price RM2.98)
BRAHIM (Price RM2.30)
xxxxx
population of european region 在 旅行熱炒店Podcast Facebook 八卦
[爸、媽,我上了傳說中的喀喇崑崙山!]
Up in the Karakorum
5月23日,我從喀什前往「新疆中的新疆」,塔什庫爾干塔吉克自治縣(簡稱塔縣)。講這個地名可能沒什麼人聽過,不過要是說我去的是傳說中的「喀喇崑崙山」,大家可能就會有點印象了,畢竟這是個台灣以前的地理課一定會提到的地名啊!這裡是中國、巴基斯坦、阿富汗、塔吉克交界處,山峰高度在5000到7000公尺間(但是公路最高只有到4000左右,不要緊張)。
(講到這裡先補充一下,喀喇崑崙山不是崑崙山喔!以為兩者一樣的請回去找以前的地理老師罰寫10遍先XD)
馬蜂窩是中國知名旅遊評論網站,如果去上面看看他們對於塔縣的評價,大多會用各種網紅慣用的華麗詞藻告訴你那裡的山有多壯觀,還有那裡的塔吉克人因為有歐洲血統,個個都是帥哥美女(這個講法其實不太正確,後面會說明)。老實說我決定要去的原因基本上類似,去看自然風景和族群文化,但我當然不是只看這些——正如我想要寫旅遊文的初衷,我想把旅途中真實的相遇,特別是那些旅遊書和部落客不會寫的事情寫下來;至於風景,大家自己去看照片就好啦。
那麼,我們開始吧!
Went to Tashkurgan county on May 23. It's one of the remotest counties in the country. Karakorum, a mountain range drawing the border of China, Pakistan, Afghanistan and Tajikistan, goes through the entire county. The peaks reach the height of 5000-7000 meters, although the highway led me there only goes up to 4000 meters.
This region is known for its alpine landscape and Tajik culture (which is related to Persian and relatively distant from the rest of China), and these are also my reasons of coming here. However, as always, I love to share things that you won't find on lonely planet or blogs. (As for the natural wonders, my pictures depict them much better than my words.) Therefore, here are what I was there:
1. 新疆目前是三步一小檢、五步一大檢的狀態,到處都是警察、到處都要安檢,在邊境更是密集,到什麼程度?喀什到塔縣300公里,我坐的大巴得停下來8次,平均每40公里一次;加油站全部設門禁,以鐵絲網和拒馬封鎖,如果要加油,乘客先全部下車,司機持身分證通過安檢後進入加油站,然後還要再刷一次身分證才能加油。
更耐人尋味的是安檢的原則:多數情況下,只有「民族人士」(指少數民族身分者)需要被安檢,漢人可以坐在車上慢慢等,不用出示證件也不用下車,而其他人則每次都必須帶著證件和邊境許可下車檢查,有時一去就20分鐘。
1. Security check is currently omnipresent in Xinjiang. Within the 300 km from Kashgar to Tashkurgan, my bus had to stop 8 times; in addition to that, all gas stations are guarded. Passengers are asked to get off, and the driver needs to be checked before entering the station. Another check is required when the driver picks up the gas pump.
More interestingly, not everyone needs to be checked every time. Most of the time, Han Chinese (which consists 90% of China's population) is waived, whereas people of minority groups are checked carefully. While the former sit and wait on the bus, the latter has to get off and be checked at security office.
2. 塔縣的確很美,但也的確是個窮鄉僻壤。那裡的海拔高、地勢起伏大加上植物很難生長,土地生產力非常薄弱,當地居民在面不大的高原上以放牧維生。我在這裡第一次見到了傳說中的犛牛,草原上也可以見到綿羊和駱駝。
除了這些少見的平地之外,沿路所見大致上都是險惡的溪谷,兩側盡是崩塌地,和台灣南投信義鄉的新中橫公路非常像,可以想見降雨量較大時泥流滾滾的樣貌。這些地方沒有什麼居民,但卻可以見到不少礦場、水利發電廠與砂石場,仔細一看,這些全部是來自其他省份的投資——在新疆這幾天發現,幾乎各種設施上面都會出現某某省投資或援助的字樣,整個行政區像是中國各省的捐款芳名錄。
2. Tashkurgan is very beautiful, but also very poor. Its uneven and alpine terrain make it unproductive. In its limited flatland, nomading has been their traditional way of living. I saw yaks, lambs and camels along the way.
In the valley, landslides and cliffs were seen throughout my ride there. It's essentially uninhabitable, but now has water power plants, mines and construction material firms. If you look closely, they are all investments from other Chinese provinces. Attribution to other provinces can be seen at many facilities in Xinjiang.
3. 塔縣的當地人的確和其他族群非常不同,不過他們並沒有所謂的歐洲血統,正確來說是:塔吉克人和今天的伊朗人有共同的祖先,是古代居住在中亞的波斯人被突厥入侵之後的遺留群體,因此他們的語言也和波斯語一樣,屬於印歐語族(Indo-European language family),和印地語、英語、西班牙語同是古印歐語演變而來,但語言和歐洲有關並不表示他們有歐洲血統。
至於他們的面貌究竟如何?是否都姑娘美如水少年壯如山(誤)?想知道的就自己去google吧,我沒有打算要用照片來回答這個問題。
3. Many Chinese tourists are interested Kashkurgan due to its Tajik culture, and consider the Tajiks are good looking than themselves. Some said it's because they are the only European ethnicity in China, but actually, they are not.
Before Turks entered central Asia, Persians dominate the region; after the Turkic invasion, the Persians moved westward, but some remained in central Asian mountains and made up today's Tajiks in Tajikistan and China. The Tajik language is therefore related to Persian, and to Hindi, English, Spanish, etc in the Indo-European language family, but that doesn't mean they are European.
As for their look, please google it. I chose not to take pictures of them.
4. 最後,這幾天來身邊鋪天蓋地的都是各種標語,而且是非常誇張的多(相較之下,以前台灣眷村那種根本就不算什麼)。有的死板、有的創新、有的隱晦、有的直白,我一直都盡量不帶成見、抱持著欣賞公共藝術的心情去讀這些標語;不過,當我看到以下這句話之後,真的覺得不把它引用上來不行了XDD
「各民族要像石榴籽一樣,緊緊抱在一起。」
4. Slogans are everywhere in Xinjiang, and they are usually about policies, Chinese communism, obedience to authorities, etc. I have been trying to read and comprehend them without personal opinion. However, as soon as I saw the following one, I couldn't help but quote it in this post:
"All ethnic groups should be like pomegranate seeds, embrace each other tightly as one."
5. 除了這些當然還看到、聽到了更多,不過為了我的人身安全著想,有些事還是等旅行結束再說吧XD
5. There are more stories I can share, but let's wait until I complete the journey ;)
population of european region 在 Data on regions and cities in the EU - YouTube 的八卦
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