【After Winning Majority in LegCo: Beijing's Crackdown May Trigger International Intervention】
***感謝Hong Kong Columns - Translated,將我早前撰寫『議會過半想像:以「#國際攬炒」反制「臨立會2.0」』長文(https://www.facebook.com/joshuawongchifung/photos/a.313299448762570/2887650867994069/)翻譯成英文,鼓勵國際社會關注立會選舉一旦過半的沙盤推演,在最惡劣形勢下的制衡策略。***
中文精簡版本:https://www.facebook.com/joshuawongchifung/photos/a.564294826996363/2888641404561682/
Hongkongers have experienced our revolution for over half a year. They no longer take a consequentialist view to the effectiveness of their movement as they did years ago, or waste time second-guessing the intentions and background of fellow activists. Following the defensive battles at CUHK and PolyU, November’s District Council election saw a great victory of unity. More marvellous is the union between peaceful and “valiant” protesters.
In the process of resisting tyranny, the people have realised that one cannot prioritize one strategy over another. This is also how the common goal of “35+” came into being—the hope that we will win over half of the seats in the Legislative Council (LegCo) this September, such that the political spectrum that represents the majority of Hongkongers is able to gain control of legislative decisions. The political clout of Hongkongers will increase if 35 or more seats are successfully secured on our side. It is certainly one vital step to achieve the five demands within the system.
The possibility of realizing legislative majority
Technically it is not unrealistic to win a majority even under the current undemocratic system. Back in the 2016 LegCo election, we already won 30 seats. In addition to the District Council (First) functional constituency seat that is already in the pocket of the pan-democrats, as long as the candidates in Kowloon East and New Territories West do not start infighting again, we could safely secure 33 seats based on the number of pan-dem votes in 2016.
The other 3 seats required to achieve a majority depend on democrats’ breakthrough among the functional constituencies by dispersing the resources of the Liaison Office. They also count on whether the turnout this September could exceed 71.2% — that of last year’s District Council elections. Some of the factors that could affect the turnout include: will the epidemic persist into the summer? Will there be potential violent repression of protests in the 2 weeks preceding the election? Will Hong Kong-US relations be affected by the downturn of the global economy?
Therefore, the ambition of “35+” is to be prioritised by the resistance as both a means and an end. I have already expressed my support for an intra-party primary at the coordination meeting. In the meantime, it is pleasing to see the ongoing debates reaching a consensus of maximising the seats among geographical constituencies in the upcoming election.
Whilst enthusiastic coordination, we should also assess the post-election landscape and gauge Beijing’s reactions: if we do not reach 35 seats, Hong Kong will be subject to tighter control and more severe repression by China; but if the democratic parties successfully form a majority in LegCo, CCP’s fears of a “constitutional crisis” would become imminent. Hence, the key questions are how the Pan-Democrats should deal with the volatile political situation in Hong Kong and how they are going to meet Beijing’s charge head-on.
Watching out for Beijing’s dismissal of LegCo after reaching majority
To take back control of LegCo such that it faithfully reflects the majority’s principles and needs is the definition of a healthy democracy. Recently, however, DAB’s Tam Yiu-chung has warned that the plan of the Pan-Dems to “usurp power” in the LegCo would only lead to Beijing’s forceful disqualification of certain members or the interpretation of the Basic Law. This proves that winning a majority in LegCo is not only a popular conception but also a realistic challenge that would get on the nerves of Beijing. Could Beijing accept a President James To in LegCo? These unknown variables must be addressed upon achieving a majority.
While there is no telltale sign as to Beijing’s exact strategy, we are already familiar with the way CCP manipulated the Basic Law in the past 4 years. Having experienced three waves of disqualifications in LegCo, twice kicked out of LegCo with my team, and thrice locked up in jail, I have no false hopes of an easy compromise from Beijing: they would not let Pan-Dems control LegCo for half a year and wait (as is the proper procedure) until after having negatived the Budget to dissolve the legislature, and thereby giving them an easy victory in the re-elections. The greater the Pan-Dems threaten Beijing’s rule in Hong Kong, the more likely that it will trigger Beijing’s repression.
Since the disqualification and arrest of lawmakers have already become “normalised”, one can even imagine the police stepping into the LegCo building to force Pan-Dems into voting. Neither is it beyond our imagination to expect the CCP to kick out all 70 lawmakers in a fit of rage and replace them with a provisional LegCo “2.0” [HKCT note: The first was from 25 Jan 1997 to 30 Jun 1998]. To depend on a majority that could lead to a chapter of a “new testament” for One Country, Two Systems is perhaps what many elites long for, but they are overly optimistic:for a ticket to the promised land will not be available at the Chief Executive election campaign a year and a half later.
Admittedly, the Pan-Dems cannot unilaterally initiate “Laam-chaau” [HKCT note: mostly translated into “scorched-earth” mentality or “mutual destruction”; some even translated into “If I burn, you burn with us”]. The most they can do is to force a standstill of the government, and not for long the LegCo will have been eliminated from the equation to make the wheels turn again. It all leaves the plan of “Negativing the motion → Dissolving LegCo → Re-election after re-election → the stepping down of Carrie Lam” merely as overly positive speculation, probably resulting from their overestimate of CCP's capacity for rational calculation. The Pan-Dems must guard their frontlines and recognise what the biggest threat from Hong Kong to China could be. In this case, should LegCo sessions be disrupted or suspended, the Pan-Dems would have to be well prepared to surmount the expected obstacles and prevent the disqualification crisis 4 years ago—a Catch-22 indeed.
Productive tension from global intervention: Using Laam-chaau against the CCP
What aggravates the CCP the most is the potential threat to Hong Kong’s unique status as the one and only “separate customs territory”. Any miscalculation will compromise its role as the Chinese economy’s “white gloves”. Imagine if CCP were to disqualify all 70 elected lawmakers and convene a meeting north of the Shenzhen River to pass a resolution to Hong Kong’s affairs (much like the Provisional Legislative Council “1.0" in 1997), how great will the shock be in a world with an effective Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act? However hard it is to predict the future one thing is certain: With the US presidential election just around the corner, blows to the separation of powers would not be tolerated, and the West would necessarily effect countermeasures against the Hong Kong government.
Beijing has been relying upon Hong Kong to navigate the international community for decades. While clamping down on the political freedom of the cosmopolitan city, Beijing desires to maintain the financial centre’s economic freedom. Hence, we started lobbying for the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act four years ago, and today we are determined to promote “Laam-chaau” on an international scale.
The will of the voters must be reflected in an election. If a “35+” legislature were to be dismissed and replaced, such flagrant violation of democracy would assuredly cause a greater backlash than the infamous extradition bill. Knowing what the reality ahead of us could be, we have to combine our election and international strategies to oppose the placement of a 35+ LegCo with an “Emergency Legislative Council 2.0”, to advance an international “Laam-chaau” to Hong Kong’s status as “separate customs territory”. Only then will we stand a chance to resist the regime and to realise the five demands.
Adjusting our mindset: Overcoming the “constitutional crisis” to reach a resolution
Upon the realization of the “35+” LegCo, it is expected that the CCP will launch a devastating counterattack. The Pan-Dems should not expect LegCo to run normally; neither can the lawmakers realise their governing blueprints they have for Hong Kong. Rather, candidates will be able to compete against one another with visions of a liberated Hong Kong through popular vote. Bringing this point up has nothing to do with undermining the common goal of reaching a majority in LegCo, but rather channels the battle of LegCo to positive use upon the rule of law’s death and a “constitutional crisis” ahead. Knowing that Hongkongers have nothing to fall back on, all Pan-Dems should not miss the only way to the realization of “35+”.
Thus, be they partisans, nonpartisans, incumbent politicians, amateur politicians, or the civil society as a whole – if we stay in the political discourse of 2016 and continue to perpetuate old stereotypes, that is to deal with the divisions on the pan-democratic camp by favouring the most “local” faction; to consider only resource allocation and self-aggrandizement as the purpose of a LegCo campaign; to ignore how potential lawmakers are fitted to what specific roles; to turn a blind eye to the journey of resistance since last summer (extending indefinitely into the future)—They would lead as astray and cost us lose a precious opportunity for change by winning a 35+ majority.
The extent to which the pan-democrats can stay united in light of the political atmosphere since last summer is another problem that our side must to address. Before the watershed moment of 12th June 2019, many democratic delegates were trapped in the mentality of needing to “preserve people’s livelihood”, “be content of what we have accomplished”, and other strategies that favours stability. As the government refuses to heed to the five demands, whether the democrats, especially those in the functional constituencies, have the political will to go all-in is the real difficult question that confronts us in the upcoming LegCo election.
All in all, if “35+” cannot be realised, it is unsurprising to see LegCo being more heavily suppressed in the next 4 years; even if "35+" is achieved, it is questionable whether the pan-democrats are able to weather multiple attacks, verbal or physical, from the regime (judging from its power in the last four years) and utilise the international Laam-chaau strategy against the displacement of LegCo. Adhering to the motto of “we fight on, each in his own way”, I can only hope that Hongkongers in elections, street confrontations and international front can reconcile with each other, so that we may collectively compel the government to yield to our demands in the next six months. It is only by reaching a resolution before a real constitutional crisis that we can combat the institutional violence of the regime and not be devoured by it.
https://hkcolumn.blogspot.com/2020/04/joshua-wong-after-winning-majority-in.html?fbclid=IwAR216gf53pG_j9JOpDfr2GItvjLfrFSekKTPzoEs3-s9KBqvPEwz865P8vw
同時也有2部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過6萬的網紅大人的玩具,也在其Youtube影片中提到,如果覺得我介紹的不錯,歡迎贊助我的開箱影片(Please support my video Channel) PayPal : [email protected] 開箱介紹:DX超合金魂 大魔神 part02(可動與細節)~ by 大人的玩具 賣場 http://class.ruten.com....
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《片語筆記可以這樣做 I》
有些片語有很多意思,建議在背的時候,不要把所有的中文意思都寫在旁邊,因為這並不能幫助你記憶。藉由上下文或例句來理解,才可以透過情境,更了解片語的用法。片語筆記可以這麼做,將同義單字寫在旁邊,在不透過中文的情況下,以便立即了解片語意思。
舉凡take off 此片語,就有好多意思,它有「脫去」、「起飛」、「休假」、「離開」、「取消」、「模仿」...等意思,強烈建議學員,還是要藉由閱讀的輔助,才能夠有效記得片語,以方便日後運用在日常對話中。
.pass on (skip) 略過
.fall in with (accept) 同意;接受(提議)
.pick up (answer) 接(電話)
.kick back (relax) 放鬆
.take off (depart) 離開
.be with (agree) 同意
.get over (overcome) 克服
.break it off (end a relationship) 終止關係
.come at (try) 向...衝去(嘗試)
.drift off (fall asleep) 漸漸入睡
.cut out (remove) 去除
.get out (escape) 逃出
.carry on (maintain) 繼續
.come up (rise) 升起
.get down on (criticize) 對...產生厭惡(批評)
#英文筆記
kick back中文 在 Ken's Portable Classroom Facebook 八卦
《片語筆記可以這樣做 I》
有些片語有很多意思,建議在背的時候,不要把所有的中文意思都寫在旁邊,因為這並不能幫助你記憶。藉由上下文或例句來理解,才可以透過情境,更了解片語的用法。片語筆記可以這麼做,將同義單字寫在旁邊,在不透過中文的情況下,以便立即了解片語意思。
舉凡take off 此片語,就有好多意思,它有「脫去」、「起飛」、「休假」、「離開」、「取消」、「模仿」...等意思,強烈建議學員,還是要藉由閱讀的輔助,才能夠有效記得片語,以方便日後運用在日常對話中。
.pass on (skip) 略過
.fall in with (accept) 同意;接受(提議)
.pick up (answer) 接(電話)
.kick back (relax) 放鬆
.take off (depart) 離開
.be with (agree) 同意
.get over (overcome) 克服
.break it off (end a relationship) 終止關係
.come at (try) 向...衝去(嘗試)
.drift off (fall asleep) 漸漸入睡
.cut out (remove) 去除
.get out (escape) 逃出
.carry on (maintain) 繼續
.come up (rise) 升起
.get down on (criticize) 對...產生厭惡(批評)
#英文筆記
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開箱介紹:DX超合金魂 大魔神 part02(可動與細節)~ by 大人的玩具
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日BANDAI萬代玩具公司的DX超合金魂系列繼推出「無敵鐵金剛」MAZINGER Z的誕生40週年紀念之作三年後,將在今年底再推出其系列的第二彈商品グレートマジンガー「大魔神」。
以今年終巨大之作品來精彩呈現,其身上所有裝甲都可以拆卸下來以露出其內部機械結構的精緻細節,附有其巨大的格納庫,眼部並裝置有LED燈的發光設計,也有「遙控器」可以控制其發光和發出劇情聲音的裝置設計,這次以高約32.5公分的大尺寸高於上次第一彈「無敵鐵金剛」的作品尺寸來製作,還附有和「無敵鐵金剛」握手用的手首配件以呈現和其互握的模樣(照片最下方)。
有興趣的玩具人請參考下方官網的宣傳短片,身為永井豪老師粉絲的玩具人千萬別考慮荷包的問題了,如此精彩的作品一定要買回家收藏啊!!還附有『初回特典』是永井豪老師的「偉大魔神畫」平面印刷品,提供給喜歡《無敵鐵金剛》系列的玩具人參考。
[商品内容一覧]
●大魔神本體
●金剛飛艇
●頭部裝甲 ●首部裝甲 ●肩部裝甲(右/左)
●胸部裝甲 ●上臂部裝甲×2 ●腹部裝甲
●下臂部裝甲(右/左) ●腰部裝甲 ●大腿部裝甲(右/左)
●小腿部裝甲×2 ●手指部裝甲(右/左)
●頭部裝甲(剖面模型) ●頭部裝甲(機械內構模型)
●首部裝甲(剖面模型) ●首部裝甲(機械內構模型)
●胸部裝甲(剖面模型右/左)
●腹部裝甲(剖面模型右/左)
●腰部裝甲(剖面模型右/左)
●手部(機械內構模型右/左)
●手部裝甲(右/左) ●可動式手部(右/左)
●手部(THUNDER BREAK右/左) ●手部(持握武器用右/左)
●握手用手部(右)×2 ●胸部高熱板 ●發光用胸部高熱板
●胸部裝甲蓋(右/左)
●DRILL PRESSURE PUNCH裝甲(右/左) ●膝裝甲×2
●附刺針膝裝甲×2 ●BACK SPIN KICK用膝裝甲×2
●BACK SPIN KICK用刀片×2 ●MAZINGER BLADE×2
●MAZINGER BLADE(小)×2 ●SCRAMBLEDUSH本體
●SCRAMBLEDUSH台座
●SCRAMBLEDUSH台座用連結零件
●格納整備基地 ●名牌×2 ●展示台座
●展示用連結零件 ●紅外線遙控器
DX超合金魂 グレートマジンガー
參考售價約53,784元日幣,尺寸高約有32.5公分,預計於2015年12月26日推出。
偉大的勇者,DX超合金魂 大魔神 登場!
• 聚超合金一切精隨,DX超合金魂大魔神登場!全高325mm的龐大體 積,可取下裝甲呈現內部構造。搭載發光、發聲機能,配合劍鐵也的 叫聲,眼睛即可發光!Breast Burn發光!!
• 附贈無敵鐵金剛時大受好評的格納整備基地。
• 發光、發聲機能
• 胸口內建聲音、發光機能。可播放「おれはグレートマジンガー」、 「勇者はマジンガー」及插入曲「鐵也的主題曲」等旋律。同時收錄 啟動、Thunder Break 、Great Typhoon 、Great Boomerang 、Atomic Punch 、 Breast Burn 、Scramble Dash、Mazinger Blade效果音,以及 駕駛劍鐵也(聲優:野田圭一)的台詞。眼睛、胸口以LED燈發光, 呈現使出招式時的姿態。
• 內部機構
• 精密呈現大魔神的內部機構。正面裝甲可拆下欣賞全身機械細節。胸
部、腹部、腰側的裝甲附贈左右分割版,可只露出半邊欣賞。
• 手腳呈現內部可動機構,手軸設有Atomic Punch噴射口。
• 手腕與腳部各有氣缸造型,各處充滿與無敵鐵金剛不同的細節。
• 豐富的附屬品
• ScrambleDash:裝上背部的機翼配件呈現飛行狀態,小腿也可張開 垂直尾翼。
• DrillPressurePunch:展開螺旋狀刀刃的強化版AtomicPunch,可藉 由手軸交換配件呈現。
• Back Spin Kick 、Knee Impulse Kick :藉由交換配件呈現帶有鋒利刀 刃的新必殺技。也附贈Knee Impulse Kick的釘子。

• 與無敵鐵金剛共同出擊
• 附贈可與分別販售的『DX超合金魂無敵鐵金剛』使用的配件。將兩 商品擺在一起,即可呈現『無敵鐵金剛vs怪獸隊長』和『大魔神』中 的經典畫面。
• 附贈可讓大魔神與無敵鐵金剛握手的配件,呈現『大魔神』第56話 (最終話)最後的名場面。
• 附贈2把MazingerBlade,讓大魔神使用雙刀流以外,也可以一把給無 敵鐵金剛使用。
• 初回購入特典
• 永井豪繪製「偉大魔神畫(大魔神)」
• 初回生產附贈永井豪為了「DX超合金魂大魔神」所繪製的分鏡集, 「偉大魔神畫(金剛大魔神)」,令大魔神粉絲們垂涎三尺的特典內 容。只有此刻能得到永井豪所繪製,只存在此刻的大魔神與無敵鐵金 剛的共同出擊。
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日BANDAI萬代玩具公司的DX超合金魂系列繼推出「無敵鐵金剛」MAZINGER Z的誕生40週年紀念之作三年後,將在今年底再推出其系列的第二彈商品グレートマジンガー「大魔神」。
以今年終巨大之作品來精彩呈現,其身上所有裝甲都可以拆卸下來以露出其內部機械結構的精緻細節,附有其巨大的格納庫,眼部並裝置有LED燈的發光設計,也有「遙控器」可以控制其發光和發出劇情聲音的裝置設計,這次以高約32.5公分的大尺寸高於上次第一彈「無敵鐵金剛」的作品尺寸來製作,還附有和「無敵鐵金剛」握手用的手首配件以呈現和其互握的模樣(照片最下方)。
有興趣的玩具人請參考下方官網的宣傳短片,身為永井豪老師粉絲的玩具人千萬別考慮荷包的問題了,如此精彩的作品一定要買回家收藏啊!!還附有『初回特典』是永井豪老師的「偉大魔神畫」平面印刷品,提供給喜歡《無敵鐵金剛》系列的玩具人參考。
[商品内容一覧]
●大魔神本體
●金剛飛艇
●頭部裝甲 ●首部裝甲 ●肩部裝甲(右/左)
●胸部裝甲 ●上臂部裝甲×2 ●腹部裝甲
●下臂部裝甲(右/左) ●腰部裝甲 ●大腿部裝甲(右/左)
●小腿部裝甲×2 ●手指部裝甲(右/左)
●頭部裝甲(剖面模型) ●頭部裝甲(機械內構模型)
●首部裝甲(剖面模型) ●首部裝甲(機械內構模型)
●胸部裝甲(剖面模型右/左)
●腹部裝甲(剖面模型右/左)
●腰部裝甲(剖面模型右/左)
●手部(機械內構模型右/左)
●手部裝甲(右/左) ●可動式手部(右/左)
●手部(THUNDER BREAK右/左) ●手部(持握武器用右/左)
●握手用手部(右)×2 ●胸部高熱板 ●發光用胸部高熱板
●胸部裝甲蓋(右/左)
●DRILL PRESSURE PUNCH裝甲(右/左) ●膝裝甲×2
●附刺針膝裝甲×2 ●BACK SPIN KICK用膝裝甲×2
●BACK SPIN KICK用刀片×2 ●MAZINGER BLADE×2
●MAZINGER BLADE(小)×2 ●SCRAMBLEDUSH本體
●SCRAMBLEDUSH台座
●SCRAMBLEDUSH台座用連結零件
●格納整備基地 ●名牌×2 ●展示台座
●展示用連結零件 ●紅外線遙控器
DX超合金魂 グレートマジンガー
參考售價約53,784元日幣,尺寸高約有32.5公分,預計於2015年12月26日推出。
偉大的勇者,DX超合金魂 大魔神 登場!
• 聚超合金一切精隨,DX超合金魂大魔神登場!全高325mm的龐大體 積,可取下裝甲呈現內部構造。搭載發光、發聲機能,配合劍鐵也的 叫聲,眼睛即可發光!Breast Burn發光!!
• 附贈無敵鐵金剛時大受好評的格納整備基地。
• 發光、發聲機能
• 胸口內建聲音、發光機能。可播放「おれはグレートマジンガー」、 「勇者はマジンガー」及插入曲「鐵也的主題曲」等旋律。同時收錄 啟動、Thunder Break 、Great Typhoon 、Great Boomerang 、Atomic Punch 、 Breast Burn 、Scramble Dash、Mazinger Blade效果音,以及 駕駛劍鐵也(聲優:野田圭一)的台詞。眼睛、胸口以LED燈發光, 呈現使出招式時的姿態。
• 內部機構
• 精密呈現大魔神的內部機構。正面裝甲可拆下欣賞全身機械細節。胸
部、腹部、腰側的裝甲附贈左右分割版,可只露出半邊欣賞。
• 手腳呈現內部可動機構,手軸設有Atomic Punch噴射口。
• 手腕與腳部各有氣缸造型,各處充滿與無敵鐵金剛不同的細節。
• 豐富的附屬品
• ScrambleDash:裝上背部的機翼配件呈現飛行狀態,小腿也可張開 垂直尾翼。
• DrillPressurePunch:展開螺旋狀刀刃的強化版AtomicPunch,可藉 由手軸交換配件呈現。
• Back Spin Kick 、Knee Impulse Kick :藉由交換配件呈現帶有鋒利刀 刃的新必殺技。也附贈Knee Impulse Kick的釘子。

• 與無敵鐵金剛共同出擊
• 附贈可與分別販售的『DX超合金魂無敵鐵金剛』使用的配件。將兩 商品擺在一起,即可呈現『無敵鐵金剛vs怪獸隊長』和『大魔神』中 的經典畫面。
• 附贈可讓大魔神與無敵鐵金剛握手的配件,呈現『大魔神』第56話 (最終話)最後的名場面。
• 附贈2把MazingerBlade,讓大魔神使用雙刀流以外,也可以一把給無 敵鐵金剛使用。
• 初回購入特典
• 永井豪繪製「偉大魔神畫(大魔神)」
• 初回生產附贈永井豪為了「DX超合金魂大魔神」所繪製的分鏡集, 「偉大魔神畫(金剛大魔神)」,令大魔神粉絲們垂涎三尺的特典內 容。只有此刻能得到永井豪所繪製,只存在此刻的大魔神與無敵鐵金 剛的共同出擊。
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