เซเนกัล จากอดีตเมืองท่าค้าทาส สู่ความท้าทายในปัจจุบัน /โดย ลงทุนแมน
ช่วงศตวรรษที่ 15 ถึงศตวรรษที่ 19 เปรียบเสมือนฝันร้ายของชาวแอฟริกัน
มหาอำนาจในยุคล่าอาณานิคมต่างเดินทางมาแอฟริกาเพราะต้องการ “แรงงานทาส”
หนึ่งในแหล่งค้าทาสที่สำคัญในสมัยนั้น คือประเทศที่มีเมืองหลวงตั้งอยู่ตะวันตกสุดของทวีปแอฟริกา...
Continue ReadingSenegal from former slave traffickers to current challenges / by Investing Man
The 15th to 19th century is like an African nightmare.
The power of colonial hunting era came to Africa because they wanted ′′ slave labor ′′
One of the major source of slave traffickers in those days is the country with capital in Africa's continent's far west.
named ′′ Republic of Senegal ′′
What story is this country going through
Investing man will tell you about it.
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Senegal name comes from Portuguese that means part of the water.
Due to the west land of the country adjacent to the Atlantic Ocean.
Senegal Capital called ′′ Dakar ′′ located west of the country and west of Africa.
Location is conducive to maritime trade
Dakar becomes the center of West Africa's major trade.
The first nation to set up a trade station is Portugal, the world colonial in the early era.
To exchange goods with African capitalists
Especially ′′ slave labor ′′
To apply to labor in Brazilian cane farm, Portugal colonies in those days.
Slaves in the African continent will be brought to Dakar.
Then boarded to an island called Gory.
A small island 3 km from Dakar city in the Atlantic Ocean.
To wait for exchange with another product
This island place is called ′′ House of Slaves
After Portugal, the power of those days took over this island.
Both England, Netherlands
To export slaves to labor in their colony
But the nation that influences Senegal the most is France.
The year of July. Prof. 1659 West African area becomes a French colony.
This includes Senegal
France set Dakar to be a trade hub with West African countries.
And got the right to occupy Gory Island from Netherlands.
To export slaves to labor in South North America.
And set up a city to expand trade at the Senate River's mouth.
300 km from Dakar city, north along the coastline.
Name this city ′′ St. Louis ′′
France lays the foundation for Senegal as a trade goal to Africa.
Build a railroad between Dakar and St. Louis for shipping.
Also laying the education foundation for locals
To help with product trade
By the founding of the University in Dakar and St. Louis
That's why Senegal uses French in government language.
And use Saefa fringe as the main currency of the country.
And then the 5 century slavery trade ended in mid 19th century.
Later in July Prof. 1960 Senegal is also free from the French colony.
Been ruling the country with president and local government since then.
Even Senegal is a major economic hub of West Africa.
But due to over half of the country, the upper part is in the Sahara Desert.
Making space for farming is limited
So relying on large amounts of foreign food imports and energy.
Assembled with main export products like mineral phosphate. Products from peanut oil fishery are low value.
Government loaned a lot of foreign debt to spend.
And intervene in domestic product prices to low levels.
Senegal is missing the account balance. Keep walking.
Poor in the year. Prof. 1994 Senegal government needs economic reform.
Starting from decreasing 50 % of Zefa's money, causing domestic inflation to 32 % immediately because imported products have higher prices.
From the beginning Senegal used a fixed exchange rate tied to the Euro, it changed to the floating exchange rate.
Reducing government price interventions
And receive subsidy from IMF and other countries like France, USA.
Even the economy can move on.
But Senegal is still missing the account balance. Keep walking.
From relying on foreign imports and subsidies all the time.
Year 2016, lack of accounting. 4.2 % of GDP.
Year 2017, lack of accounting. 7.3 % of GDP.
Year 2018, lack of accounting. 6.9 % of GDP.
So, so
Senegal challenge right now
How to manage resources and value goods in the country
To be more dependent on yourself.
No need to wait for foreign aid all the time.
From Senegal's story, a lesson that we learned.
Although most African countries now have better status from the past with the slave trade.
But these countries are going to have a small economic size.
Because of lack of exportable product development at high value
And rely on importing from foreign goods
Most developed countries are the opposite.
Importing products will be imported to produce high value goods to export.
Trick it's up to what these countries do
To be free from this problem
Which, if possible, will eventually make the economy equal to other countries..
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There's a podcast to listen to on the go.
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References
-https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/senegal/overview
-https://www.britannica.com/place/Senegal
-https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Senegal
-https://tradingeconomics.com/senegal/current-account-to-gdp
-https://www.britannica.com/place/Goree-Island
-https://www.britannica.com/topic/transatlantic-slave-tradeTranslated
同時也有1部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過22萬的網紅香港花生,也在其Youtube影片中提到,來源視頻 和 金融原理解釋,見本頁頁底。 ----------- 網上討論會 (請在本視頻的議論欄發言。有見地的內容,我會抄貼到這裏下面。) 討論會題目﹕ 假如郭文貴關於港幣貶值的預言屬實,港府(如突然敢冒大不諱行駛基本法賦與的高度自治權)可以做什麼,來挽救廣大市民,避免或減少損失? ^^^^^^^...
euro exchange rate 在 Mohd Asri Facebook 八卦
Day 2: Seminar Dunia Pelaburan Saham sesi terakhir Kuala Lumpur 2014 bersama Dato' Dr Nazri Khan, First Vice President Affin Hwang Capital & President of MATA.
"Trading is For Living"....
[MY FORECAST NEW YEAR 2015]
Alhamdulillah. Looking forward to my first political seminar along with Malaysian respectable politicians on 2015 Economic & Stock Market Outlook.
All friends invited to attend. 27th January, Sunway Resort Hotel.
My humble FORECAST in 2015 :
2015 will see USA Federal Reserve unwind its huge USD3 trillion financial stimulus and start to hike interest rates, first time in eight years.
2015 will see Bank Of Japan and European Central Bank to start pumping in USD1 trillion yen and Euro 1 trillion to boost their flagging economies.
2015 will see Malaysia chairing ASEAN and the launch of Asean Economic Community and ASEAN stock exchange by October 2015.
2015 will see the start of mega bank merger in Malaysia. Expect the biggest Malaysian Bank to be born with more than RM100 billion market cap next year.
2015 will see Malaysia finally implement Good Service Tax at 6% (lowest in ASEAN) after the long planning since 1992, Mahathir Prime Minister and Anwar Ibrahim, Finance Minister era. Malaysia are the third last ASEAN countries to implement GST.
2015 will see more than 10 mega IPO in Bursa Malaysia which includes 1MDB, Malakoff, Weststar, Iskandar Waterfront, Al Medini, Khazanah Theme Park, Ekuinas Ilmu, Sunway Construction, Sime Auto and Ecoworld International.
2014 will be officially Bursa Malaysia fourth WORST year in history, after 2008, 1997 and 1994. Year to date, Bursa has dipped 226 points or 11.8% ever since it
touched the highest record on the 8th July 2014.
2014 will be the first Bursa losing year after five straight profitable years since 2008. Not bad, given that Bursa has gained a whopping 1095 points or 135% since 28th October 2008 bottom.
2014 Bursa worst sectors are plantation and oil gas while the best Bursa sectors are technology and construction. All four sectors should be a good buy next year especially technology stocks if USA solid economy continue.
2015 should see Bursa renew momentum and continue the uptrend driven by the return of foreign inflows. As at today, foreign investors hold 45% of Malaysian Bonds and 23% of Malaysian equities, among the lowest in history.
2015 hottest economic issues will be falling ringgit, falling oil, rising inflation, rising interest rates, rising household debt, illicit money outflow and New Economic Model of Malaysian 11th Economic Plan.
2015 hottest political issues will be 1MDB Berhad, Anwar Sodomy Verdict, Seditious Act, Hudud Row, Pakatan Solidarity, Felda Group, Malaysia Airlines Berhad and UMNO New Political Model. Expect to see the rise of Malaysian political temperature and more confrontation Malay liberals vs Malay extremes.
2015 will see oil even cheaper than water. Within five months, oil price has crashed from USD110 to USD55 per barrel. It now costs RM1 to buy a litre of oil, compare
to water which is RM2 a litre. Ironically, RON 95 and Milo Tarik have not fallen as much.
2015 will see more currencies volatility. Forex traders are set to return. Top Five worst currencies in 2014 are Russian Rouble, Chilean Peso, Argentina Peso, Colombian Peso and Ukraine Hryvnia which have tumbled more than 20%. Ringgit which is already down 12% is yet to join the fray. Russia has shockingly raised its key interest rate to 17% from 10% after the collapse of the rouble currency.
2015 will see the return of Avian Influenze H5. Japanese officials slaughtered 4,000 chickens after confirming the H5 strain of bird flu at a poultry farm in the
southwest of the country. More widespread H5 will push Malaysian healthcare and glove stocks higher.
2015 will see the return of El Nino. Australian Weather Bureau confirmed 70% probabilities of El Nino emerging by February 2015 in the Pacific Ocean. This should be supportive of global aggro commodities including Malaysian Palm Oil.
2015 biggest DANGER to Global Stock Market will be GREECE. Signs suggest Greece may leave European Union if the left radicals, Syriza Party win the Greece general election this month. If this materialize, expect Greece exit to tear off Euro.
My overall take : 2015 will be the Best Stock Picking year for all investors and traders, despite higher Malaysian political temperature and rising interest rate, given the solid USA economy, cheaper Bursa stocks, super attractive risk-reward and huge selling seen over the last six month.
~ Nazri Khan, Affin Hwang Investment Bank.
euro exchange rate 在 Johan Ku 古又文 Facebook 八卦
In brief, the exchange rate of the Euro and the pounds are very weak now.
簡言之,現在的歐元跟英鎊匯率非常的低,而且還可能更低,希望我手中的英鎊別再貶值了XD
euro exchange rate 在 香港花生 Youtube 的評價
來源視頻 和 金融原理解釋,見本頁頁底。
-----------
網上討論會
(請在本視頻的議論欄發言。有見地的內容,我會抄貼到這裏下面。)
討論會題目﹕
假如郭文貴關於港幣貶值的預言屬實,港府(如突然敢冒大不諱行駛基本法賦與的高度自治權)可以做什麼,來挽救廣大市民,避免或減少損失?
^^^^^^^^^^今後, 以上管叫[總題目]^^^^^^^^^^
F (Zen Gong指 1. 中國銀行發鈔,有可能背後的美元儲備有水份。2. 發鈔量是美元儲備的4.2倍。 )
1. Money Supply M2 in Hong Kong is $14,063 billion HKD in August 2018. HK's Foreign Exchange Reserves is $424.8 billion USD in August.
https://tradingeconomics.com/hong-kon...
https://tradingeconomics.com/hong-kon...
The problem is: the figures are provided by all banks based on a honest system. HSBC & HK Chartered Bank are British banks they would play by the rule. But China Bank (HK)'s $USD reserve is in HK or Beijin? as part of China's $USD? i.e. they can have no $USD at all in HK. M1 are bank notes, bank credit & plastic monies, M2/M3 include short/long term credit. They can switch between easily that make auditing extremely difficult.
2. In HK's Foreign Exchange Reserve basket the composition mainly (80+% by IMF rule) is $USD, rest are Euro, Yen and Yuan. The fixed rate is a 7.8. The $USD reserve is USD$424.8 billion and HK's M2 money supply is HK$14,063 billion in August. The variable/unpegged rate should be HK$14,063/US$424.8=33.1 not 7.8 today. Or, USD $424.8B x 7.8= HK $3,313 billion its USD reserve can support, not HK$14, 063 billion M2. HK printed 4.2 times monies it should, not including M3 (long term credit) and figures provided by banks might be grossly exaggerated.
E (KIU WAI LAM 提供一些具體數字)
香港最新外匯儲備資產數字
香港金融管理局(金管局)2018年10月5日(星期五)公布,香港於2018年9月底的官方外匯儲備資產為4,264億美元(2018年8月底為4,248億美元)(附件)。
連同未交收外匯合約在內,香港於2018年9月底的外匯儲備資產為4,188億美元(2018年8月底為4,172億美元)。
為數4,264億美元的外匯儲備資產總額,相當於香港流通貨幣約7倍,或港元貨幣供應M3約46%。
D (原來“ 路德社”頻道有更專業和深入的討論,我請你請參考)
連結: https://youtu.be/Tx7oY042u7g
10/13/2018 路德时评(对冲基金大佬良心小哥):这几天大量突增的对港币维稳的洗脑文章,以及12日港财政司司长突赴京与央行行长商讨对策,港币是否能夠撐的住?(普通話)
點題:
1. 設郭文貴說白港幣將貶值的(中國日期)10月10日是day 1; days 2 & 3 立刻發生幾件事:(i)國內有貌似專業的長文講港元不會同美元脱鈎, 被容許發表;但列舉了香港M0, M1, M3的數字, 偏偏不提最相關的M2。(ii)財政司司長陳茂波赴京見中央銀行行長易綱, 但報導非常簡短,耐人尋味; 可能反映他們要暗示中央會為港元托底, 但又不敢說白有危機。
2. 全面回顧了1997年索羅斯狙擊港元的歷史, 及其意義, 又指出事前事後北京可都視索羅斯為"中國的老朋友", 貴為上賓。
3. 嘉賓講者特別提出, 索羅斯狙擊英鎊和其他金融操作佳績連年, 當年狙擊港元卻要敗退, 是中共津津樂道的威水史, 但是, 剛剛以非法交易罪宣判郭文貴的政泉公司案罰款600億人民幣破了全球有史以來最高罰金的紀錄, 卻無大吹大擂, 是盜國賊自知理虧, 底氣不足, 缺乏自信, 末日近矣。
4. 1:21:00有網友問港府可不可以禁止做空港幣, 算是對下面A貼的[總題目]的一個回答, 嘉賓講者以A3的邏輯回答。從路德的總結, 又可推算即使港府敢開徵「炒港幣稅」, 中共也麻煩,因為暴露了盜國賊違法造成港幣超發來吸金,將斷了這條吸金的通道,配合當世界出現其他反共招數的時候, 中共少了這金融“後援”, 會加速潰敗。這也局部回答了A5的道德兩難的困惑。
C (明杜志可算是回應以下的A4點)
1. hk foreign reserve got only 300 billion us dollars
2. 沖唔到港元架,香港有2萬億港元再加銀行體糸可以回撥,金管局可以下令唔借港元比外資沽空,其實97金融風暴已經沖過,佢地沽港股抽高個息再沽港元,結果佢地都係輸住走,如果甘易沽到港元脫勾,港元一早脫左啦
B (Eric Chan 可算是回應以下的A5點)
身為香港人, 雖然唔情願港紙遭受狙擊, 但若一時陣痛換來長治久安, 香港人亦唯有默默承受!!
[從這裏開始,... 的符號表示原文已大幅刪節,因為Youtube說明欄的上限是5000字符,業已超過。請到Tsui Hon Kwong頻道和花生台本視頻的留言欄閱讀全文。]
A (我自己來開個頭)
Tsui Hon Kwong: 港府可以宣佈徵收「炒港幣稅」!細節如下。
1. 把正常經濟活動和炒買炒賣港幣兩種行為分開。再細節,1.1 例如,...如能開具證明,是正常經濟活動所需,不在規管範圍之內。...1.2 怎樣防止假證明?...尤其是,盜國賊最清楚是他們自己造假或行賄造成港幣超發的,...他們深知加入炒賣必賺,就會出盡法寶假扮是正常經濟活動;...。在個難題上,仍有待大家...。
2. 把炒港幣的潛在利潤,用稅收抽走。再細節,2.1 某個銀碼以下的兌換,保留免稅,...。那麼,界線該劃在哪裏好呢?我認為在一千萬美元左右較恰當。...。2.2 稅率多少才好?至少要同潛在利潤掛鈎,...。
3. 徵收「炒港幣稅」會不會沾污香港是自由貿易港的美名,影響到經濟步向蕭條?...
4. 「炒港幣稅」是否有效?是不是有重大缺失,根本不可行?...
5. 道德兩難問題﹕一方面,郭文貴認為港幣貶值將在中共倒台、全國實現民主法治的過程中起得到關鍵作用,...。另一方面,最避不開港幣大貶值的是...基層人民...;整體經濟、民生發展、方方面面都會出現極大困難;再...漫延到全國,以致郭文貴都說﹕「...我心裏很難受,我跨不過那個坎,因為我看到這些行動真的在實踐中,我真的很難受。...,好幾次我在陽台...,眼淚就掉下來,受不了呀。」...這,就是道德兩難:找方法避免貶值或減弱貶值及其帶來的損失,是道德的嗎?...
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詞語解釋(出場序)
CCP ----- 中國共產黨, China Communist Party
Kayle Bass ----- 美國對沖基金經理人。Wikipedia: In 2008, Bass successfully predicted and effectively bet against the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis by purchasing credit default swaps on subprime securities which, in turn, increased in value when the real estate bubble burst.
Bass has made prominent bets on Japan, European sovereign debt and, most recently, China. He has also given his expectations regarding the economic future of Japan and Argentina.
P2P ----- peer to peer, 一種網路借貸平臺,由非政府、非銀行的機構集資,答應投資人優厚利率,然後貸款給需要資金的企業或個人。幾年前中共許多官員為這些新興的金融機構站台,從民間圈到許多資金。數月前國內大量P2P公司倒閉或負責人挾款失蹤,令投資者血本無歸。論者認為都是被貪官掠去了。
泛亞 ----- 如上,也是國內一間集資公司,許多官員向全國公眾推薦,說既安全、回報又高。幾年前又倒閉,令許多投資者賠上畢生積蓄。論者認為都是被貪官掠去了。
民族證券 ----- 郭文貴在國內的公司之一。損害郭的利益的目標之一。盜國賊殘害其員工,掠奪其資產;都是為了要脅郭就範,迫他停止點名揭露諸如王歧山等盜國賊的違法網絡和罪行。
徐明 ---- 冤案主角, 大連實德集團董事長, 2013年因涉薄熙來案,獲刑入獄, 作為污點證人指證薄熙來貪腐, 獄中表現良好, 提前釋放, 但在即將獲釋前猝死
李明 ----- 冤案主角, 著名影视公司小马奔腾董事长,涉公安部副部长李东生案被带走协助调查,官方说李明在询问中情绪激动,注射了镇静剂之后不治身亡。
雷洋 ----- 冤案主角, 北京便衣警察懷疑市民雷洋有嫖娼行為,在拘捕過程中雷洋逃脫後被再次拘捕,押解途中雷洋死亡。次日,該事件發布到網絡,引起了輿論的廣泛關注。官方說他是因為自瀆而死
「我的弟弟」----- 郭文貴、他弟弟和另一個女性家人(可能是嫂嫂)是1989年支持天安門學生運動的北京市民之中的三個。三人被捕,警局中有警員拔槍要殺女家人,他弟弟撲過去保護她,中彈,失救而死。
孟建柱 ----- 郭文貴揭露違法罪行的四名頭號盜國賊之一。
王樂泉 ----- 中共官員,官至中共中央政治局委员,新疆維吾爾自治區黨委書記。2010年被中共免去在新疆的所有職務。现任中国法学会会长。
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來源視頻﹕
https://youtu.be/rwttNTC0Izo
10月9号:C C P如果攻击台湾,美国会不会出兵?为什么说港币和人民币会垮掉?保护台湾香港极为重要!
(郭文貴頻道,美國日期2018.10.9) (普通話)
金融原理﹕
https://youtu.be/YPC6bhJv760
为什么说香港也会存在货币超发?为什么历史上阻击做空港币比较困难?为什么此次上万亿美元阻击港币加上金融大杀器一定能够成功?
(路德社直播台,美國日期2018.10.9) (普通話)
euro exchange rate 在 1 EUR to USD - Euros to US Dollars Exchange Rate - Xe 的相關結果
Get the latest 1 Euro to US Dollar rate for FREE with the original Universal Currency Converter. Set rate alerts for EUR to USD and learn more about Euros ... ... <看更多>
euro exchange rate 在 Currency Exchange Table (Euro - EUR) - X-Rates 的相關結果
Euro▲ 1.00 EUR▲▼ inv. 1.00 EUR▲▼
Argentine Peso 114.458569 0.008737
Australian Dollar 1.616588 0.618587
Bahraini Dinar 0.425440 2.350508 ... <看更多>
euro exchange rate 在 Euro foreign exchange reference rates - European Central Bank 的相關結果
The euro foreign exchange reference rates (also known as the ECB reference rates) are published by the ECB at around 16:00 CET. Reference rates for all the ... ... <看更多>