low price meaning的八卦，Yahoo名人娛樂都在討論

ทำไม มาตรการ QE ของสหรัฐ ไม่ทำให้เกิดเงินเฟ้อ ขั้นรุนแรง /โดย ลงทุนแมน
Quantitative Easing หรือที่เรียกสั้นๆ ว่า QE
คือเครื่องมือหนึ่ง ที่ธนาคารกลาง ใช้ในการกระตุ้นเศรษฐกิจ
โดยการอัดฉีดเงิน เพื่อเพิ่มสภาพคล่องให้ระบบเศรษฐกิจ ในภาวะเศรษฐกิจชะลอตัว
...Continue ReadingWhy U.S. QE measures don't cause severe inflation / by investman
Quantitative Easing aka QE
Is one tool that central banks use to stimulate the economy.
By pumping money to increase liquidity for the economic system in slowing economic progress.

But the result that many people worry about is.
Amount of money will rise in the economic system which will bring inflation.
And may be severe to severe inflation aka ′′ Hyperinflation

We have seen many countries do QE hard.
Will this lead to severe inflation in the future?
Investing man will try to analyse it.
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First, let's understand the meaning of Hyperinflation.

Hyperinflation is a condition where product prices rise quickly.
Makes the country's money value go down dramatically

Why the value of money goes down
As a result, lots and lots of money flowing into the economy.
Compared to the same amount of goods and services in the economic system.
Price increases product prices quickly

An example of past severe Hyperinflation incident.
Such as in Hungary and Venezuela

Hyperinflation in Hungary happened in 1946
During that time, Hungary was heavily damaged by WWI.
Especially various infrastructure systems.

The Hungarian Government has shortage of budgets in economic revival.
So I decided to print a lot of money to repair the city's home and stimulate the economy.
Making money in Hungary's system is increasing tremendously.

As much as the amount of money increases, the domestic products are still the same.
So it makes inflation rise quickly
Hungary average product prices increase to 2 times in 15 hours.
By the moment of Hyperinflation
Hungary inflation rate rises to 150,000 % within one day.

Venezuela part of year 2019
Venezuelan inflation rises to 10,000,000

The cause of this story is similar to the case of Hungary
Well there is excessive economic system injection
Both to stimulate a slowing economy from low petrol prices.
Including to use for government's populist policies

We'll see that all 2 events have one thing in common.
Well there is a huge economic system injection.
Which leads to hyperinflation

Back at present COVID crisis-19
Many countries have measures to stimulate the economy.
With lots of money pumping into the economic system

US Central Bank
Using unlimited amount of QE measures
From the original designated price of about 22 trillion baht per year.

Central Bank of Japan
It's another country that uses unlimited amount of QE measures.
From the original designated, about 24 trillion baht per year.

European Central Bank announces more projects
In acquisition of emergency assets worth over 27 trillion baht.

It will see that many countries are now pumping a lot of money into the system.
And in many countries, I used to do heavy QE before.

For example, the case of the USA.
There has been a lot of money pumping into the economic system in the past 10 years.
Since the 2008 US Real Estate Bubble crisis.

Interesting is that US inflation rates aren't adjusted to much higher like the cases of Hungary and Venezuela.
2010 US average inflation rate equates to 1.6 %
2019 US average inflation rate equates to 1.8 %

Japan is another country where xỳāng h̄nạk measures are taken.
But inflation is still at low near 0 % as well.

Why is the story like this?

This phenomenon is partly because
US and Japan central banks make QE through asset purchases.
Both bonds, shares, loan from commercial banks.
And commercial banks are responsible for re-releasing money into the economy.

But what happens is that commercial banks don't forward the money they get from central banks.
To the business and household sector as everyone thought at first.

The cause is because during economic recession or slowdown.
Household sector tends to save money rather than bring money to spend.
Due to insecure future economic

For example, in USA.
The deposit amount in the COVID-19 pre-birth system is around 416 trillion baht.
But when COVID-19 goes viral, deposits in the system increase to almost 500 trillion baht.
Within just a few months

Meanwhile, a bad economic situation.
Making selling business sector products and services difficult.
Making production and service still very much available.
Business sector may not require a loan to expand business.

Enough demand for products and services doesn't increase higher.
Well, things don't go much higher.
Even with lots of money in the system

Another point is.
Countries with large economies like USA and Japan
Own the world's main currency with high credibility.
Most people still believe and still demand to hold these currency.

In conclusion, if you ask for QE making of big countries today.
Will it lead to severe inflation in the future?
I have to say that this problem can be difficult for big countries like USA and Japan.

But the point is, this plague crisis doesn't know when it ends.
And countries inject money log in
For a country which is economically stable as a big country, it might be careful.
Because those countries may have severe inflation, different from this case..
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References
-https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyperinflation
-https://nomadcapitalist.com/2014/04/20/top-5-worst-cases-hyperinflation-history/
-https://www.businessinsider.com/hungarys-hyperinflation-story-2014-4
-https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyperinflation_in_Venezuela
-https://www.thestreet.com/investing/federal-reserve-unveils-unlimited-qe-to-confront-coronavirus
-https://www.schroders.com/en/bm/asset-management/insights/economic-views/bank-of-japan-ramps-up-qe-again-amid-dismal-outlook/
-https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_recenttrends.htm
-https://www.focus-economics.com/countries/japan/news/inflation/core-consumer-prices-hold-steady-in-june-in-annual-terms
- https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/projections/html/ecb.projections202006_eurosystemstaff~7628a8cf43.en.html#toc3
-https://www.economicshelp.org/blog/2900/inflation/inflation-and-quantitative-easing/
-https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DPSACBW027SBOGTranslated

花博絮語：從不請專業口譯到官網文宣菜英文——臺中宣言

花博又「花現」問題！
（「花現GNP」是花博宣傳口號 XD）

談談臺中市府官網宣傳《臺中宣言》的英文標題，見圖。

原版：累贅、不像樣的的台式菜英文：

《Taichung Declaration》has redefined the GNP Promote and raise the proposal for Green, Nature and People

設法順著原標題想表達的意思改成及格的英文：

The Taichung Declaration has redefined the pursuit of GNP growth in a new proposal of Green, Nature, and People

英文雖然對了，但仍累贅，沒有標題的樣子。

再改，使其精簡易懂，有標題樣：

The Taichung Declaration redefines GNP as Green, Nature, and People

最後這標題比較令人滿意，簡明、有重點、有哏。

* 重點明確：臺中宣言提出GNP新定義
* 明示GNP所代表的新名，但細節賣關子
* 藉此吸引讀者閱讀內文一探究竟

原標題在文法、寫作上的問題：

* 英文不存在中文新式書名號《……》

* 亂用動詞原形raise，不合文法

* 「GNP Promote」是啥？看似想表達「GNP提升」、「提升GNP」？就算視爲一個方案名，這也是糟糕的台式英文，正如Taiwan(,) Touch Your Heart 給人的感覺，無法端上國際。
問題出在把不合文法的動詞原形 promote、touch 一路用到底，不管意思如何，這顯示英語尚在牙牙學語階段，尚無動詞變化的意識和能力。

爲何 GNP Promote 是菜英文？進一步佐證：

請上 Google 搜索 "GNP Promote" （記得加英文引號），出現百餘條結果，清一色與「臺中宣言」有關，細查其實皆出自同一則臺中政府官方英文新聞文章，即本文探討的文章標題。難道「提升GNP」這概念在全人類有英語記錄的歷史中，是臺中市府首推？當然不！更合理的推論是：

一、像樣的英文不是這樣寫。
二、不像樣的這個英文表達，在全宇宙為臺中市府獨創。

這篇文宣，判斷又是不重視翻譯專業的結果。其實，有待批評的英文書寫問題還多著，有興趣的讀者不妨一讀，親自感受一下。

正如不久前逢甲大學一位外國英語教授針對「英語列爲第二官方語言」的計畫投書賴院長，批評這做法是緣木求魚，我也認爲台灣政府各層級應該檢討是否真已準備好，有能力拿出像樣的對內、對外的英語書寫。答案好像不證自明。

以下轉錄臺中官網全文，先是介紹何謂臺中宣言，後是臺中宣言英文版。（連結見留言）

～～～～～

《Taichung Declaration》has redefined the GNP Promote and raise the proposal for Green, Nature and People

Issued by Information Bureau Date:2018-04-19

Taichung will conduct World Flora Expo in November. Green productivity proposed by the City Government was based on the Flora Expo addressed concepts of Green productivity, Nature sustainability and People with Green-ability.「Taichung Declaration」is aiming for inviting 100 cities to sign up. Taichung City Mayor, Chia-lung Lin has signed the declaration with Changwon City Mayor, Ahn Sang-soo tonight at Masan Baseball Stadium in South Korea, he also kicked off the starting game for the Taiwanese baseball pitcher, Weichung Wang, who is working currently in South Korea. It’s very meaningful to have Changwon City as the first city to sign up to the Taichung Declaration.

The theme of 2018 Taichung World Flora Expo is「Exploring GNP」 which change the old meaning of GNP as Gross National Product. Redefined GNP now means Green productivity, Nature sustainability and People with Green-ability for pursuing green productivity and facilitating the ecological eternity and embrace the nature in addition to pursuing the technological development. to make people’s living better. We wish to promote and raise the awareness of enhanced collaborations between international societies because this is the only way to connect people to help each other for sharing the goodness and prosperity for the world. (4/11*11)*Information Bureau.

～～～～～

Taichung Declaration：

《Taichung Declaration》
A New Proposal for GNP

Have you ever thought about that, sound of blooming, could be heard?

Modern people are busy in earning their livings when they are pursuing the development of economics and technologies. They’ve been too busy to see things through so they’ve forgotten to listen to the hearts, realize the nature how close they are relying on the environment.

In 2018, let’s find out the balance for ourselves, let’s listen to the whispers of the nature, let’s listen to the happy sounds of the blooming, we can feel the the value of life and how great to be alive. After all, the meaning of life is to make the world better.

2018 Taichung World Flora Expo will raise a new proposal for GNP. GNP has it’s own life and means Green, Nature and People so it is no more a neutral number of Gross National Product. GNP stands for green productivity and facilitating the ecological eternity to make people’s living better.

It’s the time to move forwards, it’s the time to look back to the past. When we move forwards to develop the smart technologies in the future, we should remember to turn to embrace the nature again to facilitate the ecological eternity. We believe the prosperity and environmental protection can exist concurrently while the technologies can live with the nature.

Green Productivity

City in green and green in the city. The economical growth traded off by the environment will no more last as we know quite well how to play the role as one of the members in the global village. By applying green technologies, reducing energy consumption and create the shared resources to construct a sustainable city with green production and green economics as the backbone.

Nature Sustainability

The mountain geography left from the ice age and the recent wetland scenes formed by the waves and tides are all the low polluted ecological environment and diverse biological systems we would like to sustain. We will never pay the price of nature to pursue the technological prosperity again. We will rebuild the tight connections between people and nature to find back the harmony and balance between people and nature.

People with Green-ability

We are anticipating people will develop their green concepts and capabilities. Such trivial things as personal thought, diet, living and action or big scope as urban construction and future development, all of them will become the group energy of Green to contribute to the international society. So-called green concepts is to implement the actions, including respect the varieties and embrace diversity. No matter in the aspects of culture, race, politics, education or religion, we will maintain the old traditions and develop the innovations to share a better future with everyone. The aesthetics of living is to live with varieties and grow with the compatibilities.

We believe,
The perfect balance among production, ecology and living can be obtained.
Listen to the nature, connect with the society and link to the world.
Collaborate and facilitate the development of international non-government organizations.
Create the new model of urban management.
Because we connect with each other,
We will share the achievements and good results.

～～～～～

"If you don't follow the stock market, you are missing some amazing drama."

[SIX REASONS WHY BURSA COMPOSITE INDEX WILL BREAK 2,000 BY END 2015 BY DR. NAZRI KHAN]

I am going to stick my neck out here and making a gutsy speculation that KLCI will break above 2,000 level, two years from now. Yes, seriously as early as December 2015.

While that might sound crazy (KLCI is still struggling with 1800 this week), let me humbly justify with SIX undisputable reasons why Bursa will hit 2,000 magic numbers.

REASON 1 : Subprime Crisis Is Over. Solid USA & European Economies.

The USA economy is in its best performance since the depths of the financial recession in 2008. Bloomberg consensus expect USA to post solid economic growth of more than 3% through 2016 and 6% unemployment rate by end 2014, the best rate in five years. The worst is also over for Europe. Europe especially the PIGS (Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain) had an extremely severe reaction to the 2008 financial panic due to sovereign debt but as last quarter 2013 their economies are no longer shrinking and in fact are making a modest incremental economic growth since 2008. Both the USA and Europe are Malaysia largest trading partner and represents important sources of demand for goods from every other region. Solid economic recovery in the USA and Europe suggest stronger exports, higher corporate earnings and of course higher Bursa price.

REASON 2 : Average KLCI Annual Gains Since 1977 Is 30%

Look and check this out on Bloomberg, KLCI has easily gained 135% since 2008 and a total of 2015% since 1977 (meaning average of 26% per year). So when you start to look at a 26% price gain per year, and you add in Bursa average of 4% dividends, you are talking about a 30% return average every years. 2000 magic numbers will only represent a cheap 5% gain for KLCI per year from here. Now don’t tell me KLCI hitting 2000 psycho level is a big deal.

REASON 3 : Improved External + Cheap Valuation = More Foreign Inflows.

Fundamentally speaking, the remarkable fact is that even after this incredible 2008-2013 run-up the FBMKLCI index is only selling at 15.5 times estimated 2014 earnings. Reasonable price, at least compared to the super glory time in 1990-1994 where KLCI valuation is 40 times! Remember, I haven’t talk about the foreign inflow which now stand at three years low. S&P 500 companies alone are sitting on USD3 trillion in cash equivalents. Assuming 1% of inflow will inject extra RM100bil per year into Bursa equity. And that could be another reason the market will continue to rise.

REASON 4 : Huge Untapped Liquidity. Millions Of Retailers Are Yet To Jump.

Secondly, only 0.4% of Malaysian are currently actively invested in the market (based on 100,000 active retail investors and 28 million Malaysian population as at Dec 2013). Headlines speak to the fact that as the market advanced, more money is moving back into equities. And that is true. And don’t forget, as at end last year, we have RM326 billion funds invested in unit trust which will plough back into Bursa Malaysia. So given this untapped liquidity, I can easily bet there appears to be an imminent euphoria here in the Malaysia market especially when KLCI broke above 1900 this year.

REASON 5 : Current Bull Is Still Young

2014 should be the sixth year of the bull run which started since 2009. Well, since 1977, the average duration of a Malaysian bull market is 9.8 years, and the average return is 275%. We should understand the bull momentum gradually became stronger as the bull market continued year after year, and normally grow exponentially in the last five years. This bull starting in October 2008 has not even matched that average. It is now only 5.5 years old running with a return of 135%. Meaning we have at least another 4.3 years (till July 2019) and further 140% upside to whack

REASON 6 : Retail Traders Are Roaring

Last but not least, I am impressed by looking at the tiger attitude of retail traders especially the younger ones. Out of nowhere, I see thousands of retail investors from colourful background (engineers, teachers, MLM product owners to idle housewives) fully embraced 2013 bull market, ignoring any threat from the hottest 2013 Malaysia general election and chasing stocks like there is no tomorrow. Trading gallery now is full to the brim and training seminar is packed like a world class soccer match. Buying into speculatively unknown and underperforming names such as Tiger, Palette, Nicorp, Ingenco, Winsun, AMedia & Luster. This strong retail trend should signal more good times to come. I just can’t wait for the last bull stage in 2019 where taxi drivers, mamak staller and even house maids to jump and buy Iris, Sumatec and KNM.

I Rest My Case.

xxxxx

Affin Long Term View : Runaway Bull 2015-2016, Euphoria Bull 2017-2018, Buying Climax & Next Crash 2019-2020

Long Term Strategy : Buy Any Local Bluechips Warrants OR Buy MSCI Malaysia ETF Long Term Options (EWM), Hold Five Years

Affin Low Risk Favourites (Watch For 5 Year Warrants If Available) :

TENAGA (Price RM11.85)
TM (Price RM5.55)
SKPETRO (Price RM4.51)
AIRPORTS (Price RM8.11)
BIMB (Price RM4.29)
TAKAFUL (Price RM10.26)
BURSA (Price RM7.79)
POS (Price RM5.55)
QL RESOURCES (Price RM2.98)
BRAHIM (Price RM2.30)

xxxxx

★Cat Merch! https://crowdmade.com/collections/junskitchen

- 字幕は画面右下の字幕設定から、サイズ、色を、ドラッグで位置を変更できます。

Lets all take a moment to recognize Jun for his outstanding accomplishment of supporting me without complaint while I shopped for clothes for 3 1/2 hours!

This is a special type of thrift store (古着屋/furugiya, meaning old 古 clothes 着 store 屋) known as mai shuu sagaru (毎週下がる). 毎 means "every" 週 means "week" and 下がる means "lowers." The price on all clothing items lowers every week through a set schedule. This type of thrift store is the lowest end where brand clothes that can't be sold in higher end thrift stores are taken, and all other inexpensive clothing are sent for the purpose of super quick resale. The lowest price in this particular 毎週下がる古着屋 is only ￥100 (~$1).

You will also see 毎週下がる written out partially or completely in katakana: マイシュウサガール.

The store in the video is the マイシュウサガール branch of 買取王国　(kaitori oukoku): http://okoku.jp/

I am an admitted thrift store shopaholic in both America and Japan! My family didn't have the money to buy me new clothes growing up so I began shopping at thrift stores for myself as a teen. I would say that 90% of my clothes, shoes, and accessories have come from these stores. I LOVE thrift stores because it is like treasure hunting and they're so cheap!! Japanese thrift stores are especially incredible because the clothes are almost all young and fashionable compared to America where in the low-end thrift stores you have to dig through a sea of old people things to find anything decent! Almost everything I've worn in all of my videos have come from thrift stores. :) "Thrifting" as it's called is also great since you're having a positive impact on the environment by recycling and avoiding purchasing new products. I highly encourage everyone visiting Japan to seek out a mai shuu sagaru thrift store! Don't be intimidated by the thought of small Japanese sizes--there are plenty of larger and baggy clothes to be found as well. :)

日本の古着屋さんが大好き！！ ❤

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【You can also find us:】
×Gaming channel: http://www.youtube.com/user/RachelandJunGame
×Extra videos: http://www.youtube.com/user/RachelandJunExtra
×Jun's Kitchen: http://www.youtube.com/user/JunsKitchen
×Twitch: http://www.twitch.tv/rachelandjun/profile
×Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/RachelAndJun
×Twitter: https://twitter.com/RachelAndJun
×Instagram: http://instagram.com/rachelandjun
×Our blog: http://rachelandjun.blogspot.com/

The songs are Heritage Place: http://www.joshwoodward.com/song/HeritagePlace
and Untitled: http://www.joshwoodward.com/song/Untitled
by Josh Woodward.

Use the Donchian Channel to time your entries, filter high-probability setups and ride massive trends.

SUBSCRIBE: https://bit.ly/2MsGjRR

If you want more actionable trading tips and strategies, go to https://www.tradingwithrayner.com

First and foremost, what is a Donchian Channel? How do I get this indicator on my chart? If you're using TradingView just go down to the Indicator Tab, search for Donchian, and you click this one over here, and here's what you see on your chart, the Donchian Channel. It comes with the default 20-period setting.

Tips for Trading with Donchian Channel #1
The first tip is that you can use Donchian Channel to help you filter for high-probability trading setups. It can help you to trade with the trend. Here's how. Let's say you want to buy with the trend. What you'll do is pay attention to the middle band and where the price is relative to the middle band. If the price is below the middle band, then you look for short trading opportunities. Means you look to sell. If the price is above the middle band, then you look for long trading opportunities, meaning you look to buy. This is a simple filter that will keep you on the right side of the markets more often than not.

Tips for Trading with Donchian Channel #2
The second thing a Donchian Channel can do for you is to help you time your entries. What you can do is you can look to trade the breakdown or the breakup. Can see that over here this candle over here pretty much made a new 20-day low. You can look to short the market, as the price made a new 20-day low. Alternatively, this candle over here made a new 20-day high, so you can look to buy the market as the price makes a new 20-day high. This is only to serve as an entry trigger. This is not a strategy but just an entry trigger.

Tips for Trading with Donchian Channel #3
The third thing a Donchian Channel can do for you is to help you ride massive trends. Here's how it works. You can see, right? Let's say, for example, you are short this market, this crude-oil market. Let's say the market breaks this low over here, this 20-day low, you go short. Let's say your stop-loss; it's above this swing high, let's say you put it somewhere here, one ATR above it, somewhere here. You can trail your stop-loss using this middle band over here. This means if the price doesn't break above the middle band, you will stay short, you will hold onto your short position.

Tips for Trading with Donchian Channel #4
The fourth tip is that the Donchian Channel works very well with the Average-True-Range indicator. Let me pull out this ATR indicator. We'll use the default settings, as well. I don't have to be too fancy on this. I like to look at the weekly chart. The thing that I like to look for is to see low volatility in the markets. I want to see that the ATR value is at multiyear lows. This means that the ATR value over the last two or three years, this is the lowest level. This is what I'm looking for.

If you want to learn more, you can go down to my website TradingWithRayner.com, and scroll down to the bottom, and you can see these two trading guides: The Ultimate Trend Following Guide and The Ultimate Guide to Price-Action Trading. If you want to learn how to ride massive trends in a market, go and download this guide over here, the trend-following guide, because I'll share with you practical trading strategies and techniques to ride massive trends.

If you want to learn more about price-action trading to better time your entries and exits you can download this Ultimate Guide to Price-Action Trading. Both of them are completely free. Just come down to my website, TradingWithRayner.com, click on this blue button, and I'll send it to your email, for free.

Thanks for watching!

FOLLOW ME AT:
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Rayner: 00:00 The first thing I want to share is that there is no way that you can 100% avoid a false break out. Because that's like saying, "How do I win 100% of the time in trading?" It doesn't exist. So embrace this fact that break outs will fail, no matter how beautiful the pattern is, how high probability the chart may look break outs can and will fail.

Rayner: 00:32 Once you accept this fact, I want to share with you three tips that I personally look for whenever I trade break outs. Number one trade break out with built up. So what is built up? Build up is basically a tight consolidation you see on your chart where the range of the candles get small and tight. That's called a 'build up', and typically like let's say, for example, I want to trade a break out of resistance, I will look for a build up at the highs of resistance. Meaning if the price comes into resistance, I want to see the range of the candle get tighter and tighter. Consolidating for about five to ten candles, before it breaks out.

Rayner: 01:05 Why do I want to see that? Because number one, you have a tighter stop loss which improves your risk to reward, because when there's a build up, you can just simple set your stop loss at a low of the build-up instead of the low of the entire range, which is pretty done wide. That's number one, a tighter stop loss that eventually offers you a better risk to reward. Number two, when you see a build-up, it's a sign of strength because it's telling you that buyers are willing to buy at these higher prices, willing to buy in front of resistance. This is a sign of strength, and these are the two reasons why I love to trade break outs with build up.

Rayner: 01:39 The second tip that I want to share with you is watch how the price action approaches the levels that you're looking to trade the breakout. Let's say for example again you want to trade resistance, you want to trade the break out of it, watch how the price action approach resistance. So what I want to see is higher lows coming into resistance, because this is a sign of strength, it's telling you that the buyers are willing to buy at again these higher prices. On top of it, it looks somewhat like an Ascending triangle, and it typically is from this type of stair-stepping price action to a point where it starts to coil very tightly, and again this is another form of a build up, and really more often than not, the market is likely to break up higher. Again, watch how the price action approach resistance. Ideally, you want to see higher lows coming into it.

Rayner: 02:22 The third thing I want to share with you is to let markets break out. If the market does break out and you are not in a trade, what you can do is to wait for the first pullback to occur, and this can appear in the form of a trend continuation trade, for example, a bullish flight path and a symmetrical triangle. These are possible chart pattern that you can trade, to trade the subsequent move higher.

Rayner: 02:55 These are the three tips I would like to share with you to find higher probability break out trades. That's all I have for you in today's episode. If you have any questions that you want me to answer, leave it in the comments section below so I can look into it and answer in the next episode.

If you want more actionable trading tips and strategies, go to https://www.tradingwithrayner.com

Thanks for watching!

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