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同時也有36部Youtube影片，追蹤數超過108萬的網紅mintchyy，也在其Youtube影片中提到，mintchyy | แต่งหน้ากันน้ำ พร้อมลุยสงกรานต์ 2016 " จะสงกรานต์แล้ว มาเตรียมตัวแต่งหน้าไปเล่นน้ำกันเถอะะ :3 " ของที่ใช้ในคลิป 1. Revlon Colorstay Found...
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Thaksin Shinawatra in Private Discussion
World Policy Institute Global Leader Briefing Series Thinking Points
World Policy Institute, 9th March 2016, New York
———————————————————
Excellencies, Distinguished Guests, Ladies and Gentlemen,
I must thank you World Policy Institute for providing me an opportunity to share my thought on the challenges that revolve around the economic, regional and global implications of how Thailand will make its way through a period of transition and change.
We all know that no society in the twenty-first century can sustain any form of “progress” in the well-being of its people without at least two basic foundations:
The first one is political stability. The second one is the ability to create economic activities that allow growth and readiness to shift its creativities to sustain wealth.
Ladies and Gentlemen,
Let me tell you the tale of the two cities, which is not written by Charles Dickens. It is the tale of parallel progress of Washington D.C. and Beijing. Each has its own history, pain and loathing. As the years go by, the two cities have been seen as rivals which offers competing models for growth and prosperity.
One is Free Market-Capitalism with the so-called “Open Democracy” as the foundation of its economic model. The other one is State-Led Capitalism with the central control system by one party.
Both of the models have proven to be successful in a very dramatic way from the past to the present. Admitting that the Chinese model was fitting to the change of attitude among the leadership of the country at that time, in parallel with the change of economic model in the West, in which the definition of “free trade” benefits China’s shifting position from a close market to a semi-open market.
But we must admit also that both models are now having to adjust itself to the new reality; the reality of dramatic change in speed and character of technology for industrial production; the change from “a country-based product” to “network of global design, global sourcing,and global production for just one product”. This extraordinary change upends the “normal” internal economic adjustment of the country and made it very difficult to find a simple economic adjustment.
We must recognize that advancement in the wealth management technique and technology also upend the normal linkage between capital and changes in production. However, we probably agree, that one common threat for survival in this present so-called “New Normal” is either you have the ability and willingness to change or you don’t. Thailand, like the other countries, cannot get away from this New Normal in the international context.
Ladies and Gentleman,
There is a tale of a poor English teacher in China who soared to the list of the world’s wealthiest people. He neither built a big factory nor invested in any production facility. But, people paid for his service simply to reach the network of supply and demand on a grand scale. I believe, he must feel thank you to the internet.
Ladies and Gentleman,
Amid the global economic slowdown, the pattern of trade has significantly changed. Due to the development of information technology infrastructure and increasing number of population who is able to access to the internet, e-commerce has become a new engine that sustains growth for both developed and developing economies. According to UNCTAD’s report last year, the value of global business-to-business (B2B) e-commerce in 2013 exceeded $15 trillion USD. While global business-to-consumer (B2C) e-commerce still accounted for an estimated $1.2 trillion USD, this segment has grown at a rapid pace; especially in the Asia and Oceania region where B2C segment is expected to surge from 20 to 37 percent between 2013 to 2018. Due to the incremental growth of cross-border e-commerce trade, international postal deliveries of small packets and parcels have risen by 48 percent between 2011 to 2014 globally.
For both Asia and the West, I believe these numbers provide us with clues for the new growth opportunities where “access to networks” is the key: meaning, the networks of consumers and factors of production across geographical boundaries. Unlike the economy of twentieth century when “access to centers” is the rules of the game, today, businessmen who do not have big factories and are not the owners of multinational corporations, can manage to reach and satisfy the needs of their customers worldwide through networks of production and distribution with an assist of the new communication technology. Today’s economy is increasingly decentralized. Consumption and production are more and more dispersed. We could imagine that an American producers can sell their products online directly to consumers in the western part of China without having to spend business hours in Beijing or Shanghai. Vice versa, a Chinese producer can bypass New York to offer their products to customers in New England and Mid-Atlantic states. The network economy has provided the people, both in small and large businesses, with the ability to produce and access to consumers at lower costs. We, as a global community, must put special emphasis on how each country can invest and share risk with the people to create growth collectively.
Ladies and Gentleman,
Another tale is about the rebirth of a road that nobody cares since the Portuguese discovered a possible sea route from Europe to Asia. The Portuguese did offer an alternative trade route with substantial margins for the goods carried. Although you might lose half of the cargoes on the way, you still did not lose your shirt. Since the demand for spices were overwhelming, the merchant marines heavily charge everybody.
Ladies and Gentleman,
The heavy-load transport through the sea has been with us till now, and the land routes from Asia to Europe have been neglected. If the world’s economy is thriving like the good old days, probably, not so many people would be interested in finding an alternative in life. But, since the situation goes awry, I believe, any country should consider all possibilities.
Ladies and Gentlemen,
Today, there are two major initiatives that, I think, have great potential to accelerate growth and leverage “quality of growth” that brought into being by the emergence of network economy. One is the China-led “One Belt, One Road” (OBOR) plan to develop transport and logistics connectivity encompassed some 60 countries, which include about 50 percent of the world’s GDP. And, the other is the US-led Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP) between 12 Pacific Rim countries, which account for more than 40 percent of the world’s GDP. I have not seen these two initiatives as antagonistic, but rather a kind of two parallel processes that, at a certain point, will create mutual economic benefits for Asia and the West.
We must overcome the stereotype that perceive China and the US as merely the two opposing political superpowers. In reality, the economic development during the past decade has shown us how far these two major economies are interdependent. China is the largest foreign holder of US government securities with $1.24 trillion USD worth. With the total trade volume of $521 billion USD in 2014, the US is China’s biggest trade partner. Total US foreign direct investment (FDI) in China stood at $65.77 billion USD at the end of 2014, while the Chinese FDI in the US is estimated to have reach $11.9 billion USD.
Given this interdependence in mind, I believe Southeast Asia- the region that sits in between the two great initiatives of the two major economies- must put special emphasis on how to enhance the mutual economic benefits with its counterparts. For Southeast Asia in the twenty-first century, the geopolitics should be about how to reinforce the networks of wealth creation for the people that stretch across national and regional borders.
Ladies and Gentlemen,
Let me tell you the last tale about a Thai restaurant. No matter how many times the master chef tries to teach his protege, the young man keeps making mistakes in mixing the ingredients. Customers are kept waiting, hungry and mad. Once the customers are served, half of them get diarrhea afterward. The moral of this tale is one must make the written recipe right.
Ladies and gentlemen,
While some people may underline the unique characteristics of Thailand in terms of its history and developmental path, the country itself cannot avoid to come to terms with the global challenges of the twenty-first century. For half a century, the Thai economy has incrementally integrated into global economy. Values of Thailand’s exports per GDP and FDI in the country have shown us clearly how far the growth of Thai economy has been interwoven with the fate of global economy.
Against this context, we shall consider Thailand’s draft constitution with a very simple question: will the latest draft constitution “enable” the country to grow and become stronger in the present world? Or, will the latest draft constitution provide Thailand with a sufficient institutional infrastructure for investment, production, cooperation, and businesses?
Ladies and Gentlemen,
Due to the framework set out by the latest draft constitution, it is difficult to foresee a government that is responsive to the people and the challenges of the twenty-first century. According to the new draft, the 200-seat upper house, or Senate, will be appointed by the so-called “experts”. The Senate will also have greater powers to block legislation. Regarding the Constitutional Court, its scope of jurisdiction will be expanded. The Court will have the power to examine cases based on petitions filed directly by individuals, without the requirement that an actual dispute being brought by political organs or other courts.
If we consider the doctrine of separation of powers as the foundation for growth and stability, the critical issue that we shall examine is whether the judicial power will trespass the provinces of legislature/ and executive or not? For a government to be able to manage the economy against the global slowdown, I do hope that there will be no over-enforcement of the judicial power. Experiences of several countries show us that, if unchecked, judicial review can be inappropriately used as “delaying tactic”; thus, in turn, become an impediment to economic policy implementation.
Ladies and Gentlemen,
I believe that the foundation for the country to create growth and prosperity is to build trust in the global community. The constitution shall protect the rule of law and provide at least a minimum level of freedom of speech that facilitates economic cooperation between the people and the global community. Trade and investment cannot flourish if there is no certain degree of confidence provided by the rule of law. Against the transition and change, Thailand must reevaluate its strength and weakness. The country shall find a sensible way to regain its political stability and economic dynamism. I have only proposed the way of how should we think of the phenomena that is the world today.
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2月2日，我們家每年的一個重要日子。
這天，阿豹走了九年，同時，亦是貓兄弟豬皮和BB的九歲生辰。
相信大部份fans都知道我有隻心愛的貓貓叫周慧豹，而我唯一的著作就是為他而寫的。出書已經是2004年的事了，沒有想過一隻貓能讓我有這麼大的動力，去為他寫下一篇長達四個月的情書。
多年來，每逢我發有關貓貓的貼文，都有朋友留言問候阿豹，有心了！其實，他早於2011年2月2日已經離世，當時他還未滿11歲，死於手術意外。他走的那夜剛好是年三十晚，我們家過了一個最傷痛的農曆新年。直到他走後的第一個主日禮拜，我和先生才願意外出，當日，更與查經小組一起研讀聖經舊約書卷約伯記。
每個在患難當中的弟兄姊妹，總能在閱讀約伯記後尋到大大的安慰。約伯是舊約聖經裏一個義人，敬虔的生活讓神十分喜悅。有次，神主動在撒但面前稱許約伯，撒但不服，指控約伯是因為神的賜福才敬畏神，神容許撒但拿走約伯在世上除了性命之外擁有的一切包括子女、財產、健康等…以考驗他對神的忠誠。經過了這場苦難的考驗，証實了約伯對神的敬畏始終沒有動搖，神更賜他比以前更多的福份。記得初信主時第一次讀完這書卷，我不太理解約伯記結局的含意，怎樣能在失去後再得到比以前更多？失掉的怎去彌補？
2011年農曆年在家裏備課時，首先意外被兩年前第一次閱讀這書卷時underline 了的一句經文安慰了當時的自己。我看到約伯記41章 11節如此說：「誰先給我什麼，使我償還呢？天下萬物都是我的。」這句神給在苦難中約伯的話讓當時正值傷痛的我頓時感到釋懷。阿豹的意外離世，對我的打擊十分大，這句經文，再次提醒我天父是掌權的，祂按祂的時間表賜下阿豹給我，祂也必然按祂的時間表收回他給我暫時看管的東西，沒有東西是屬於我的，我們世人本是塵土，萬物都是他所創造的，給與收的主權都掌管在神手裡，我要相信祂計劃背後的美意和學會順服。當時的我，就憑這句經文的提醒，走出了傷痛。
阿豹走後，我請求先生為我尋找與阿豹有血緣關係的貓貓，讓我可以活用與阿豹生活學到的東西，好好把愛延續下去。我們早在阿豹生前也嘗試過尋找，但一直都沒有找到。這次我們不斷祈求，交給神帶領。有天，先生歡喜地告訴我找到了一對與阿豹爺爺有血緣關係的雙胞胎，我們深入查一查他們的出生日期，發現竟然是2月2日，正巧是阿豹離世當日。
不久，這對貓兄弟豬皮和BB就成為我們貓之家的新成員，與其他年長的貓貓融洽地生活。童年BB的樣子長得很像阿豹，無疑帶給我這位時刻想念過世兒子的貓媽媽一點安慰。童年豬皮長相與阿豹一點也不像，但性情特別好，讓我看到貓的更多不同優點。有天，豬皮突然親暱地向我的小腿咬了一下，這是阿豹生前常對我做的親密行為，這一咬連肢體動作也跟阿豹很像，讓我感到特別溫暖又感動。雖然這樣的行為豬皮只向我做了一次，但已足夠告訴我阿豹彷彿以另一種形式活在他們當中，不只是一對有血緣關係的貓兄弟，他更是活在我一家的貓貓當中。他的離開，教曉我更懂得愛我家裏每一隻貓貓，更珍惜每一隻貓貓對我的愛，漸漸，我明白到約伯後來怎樣從神那裏得到更多。
阿豹離世到現在，貓之家的汀汀、布丁佬、貓豬都相繼去世了，他們離世時我依然很傷痛，甚至比失去阿豹更痛，因為每一次的痛都累積了前一次的痛，遞增一倍、兩倍，甚至三倍的痛，但傷痛背後，我心裡確實擁有從神而來的平安，安心放手交託，期盼著那永恆國度裡再一起的美好，不管那時大家會以那種形態活著。今天，豬皮和BB九歲了，家裡比他們年長的有花花和Cardi，比他們年輕的有Mike，這個特別的日子不只屬於這對貓兄弟，這天是屬於貓之家過去現在將來每一位成員的特別日子，滿載著我們家的愛。
以今天的貼文，作為《我的貓兒子周慧豹》一書的延續篇，送給每位珍愛毛孩的朋友。
★ In memory of my beloved dogs 豬仔、小寶寶
★ In memory of my beloved cats 豹、貓豬、布丁、汀汀
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mintchyy | แต่งหน้ากันน้ำ พร้อมลุยสงกรานต์ 2016
" จะสงกรานต์แล้ว มาเตรียมตัวแต่งหน้าไปเล่นน้ำกันเถอะะ :3 "
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11. Cathy Doll Rockstar Tattoo Lip Pack #Flamingo Pink
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Production : earth.houdini, mintchyy
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