price out meaning的八卦，Yahoo名人娛樂都在討論

ทำไม มาตรการ QE ของสหรัฐ ไม่ทำให้เกิดเงินเฟ้อ ขั้นรุนแรง /โดย ลงทุนแมน
Quantitative Easing หรือที่เรียกสั้นๆ ว่า QE
คือเครื่องมือหนึ่ง ที่ธนาคารกลาง ใช้ในการกระตุ้นเศรษฐกิจ
โดยการอัดฉีดเงิน เพื่อเพิ่มสภาพคล่องให้ระบบเศรษฐกิจ ในภาวะเศรษฐกิจชะลอตัว
...Continue ReadingWhy U.S. QE measures don't cause severe inflation / by investman
Quantitative Easing aka QE
Is one tool that central banks use to stimulate the economy.
By pumping money to increase liquidity for the economic system in slowing economic progress.

But the result that many people worry about is.
Amount of money will rise in the economic system which will bring inflation.
And may be severe to severe inflation aka ′′ Hyperinflation

We have seen many countries do QE hard.
Will this lead to severe inflation in the future?
Investing man will try to analyse it.
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First, let's understand the meaning of Hyperinflation.

Hyperinflation is a condition where product prices rise quickly.
Makes the country's money value go down dramatically

Why the value of money goes down
As a result, lots and lots of money flowing into the economy.
Compared to the same amount of goods and services in the economic system.
Price increases product prices quickly

An example of past severe Hyperinflation incident.
Such as in Hungary and Venezuela

Hyperinflation in Hungary happened in 1946
During that time, Hungary was heavily damaged by WWI.
Especially various infrastructure systems.

The Hungarian Government has shortage of budgets in economic revival.
So I decided to print a lot of money to repair the city's home and stimulate the economy.
Making money in Hungary's system is increasing tremendously.

As much as the amount of money increases, the domestic products are still the same.
So it makes inflation rise quickly
Hungary average product prices increase to 2 times in 15 hours.
By the moment of Hyperinflation
Hungary inflation rate rises to 150,000 % within one day.

Venezuela part of year 2019
Venezuelan inflation rises to 10,000,000

The cause of this story is similar to the case of Hungary
Well there is excessive economic system injection
Both to stimulate a slowing economy from low petrol prices.
Including to use for government's populist policies

We'll see that all 2 events have one thing in common.
Well there is a huge economic system injection.
Which leads to hyperinflation

Back at present COVID crisis-19
Many countries have measures to stimulate the economy.
With lots of money pumping into the economic system

US Central Bank
Using unlimited amount of QE measures
From the original designated price of about 22 trillion baht per year.

Central Bank of Japan
It's another country that uses unlimited amount of QE measures.
From the original designated, about 24 trillion baht per year.

European Central Bank announces more projects
In acquisition of emergency assets worth over 27 trillion baht.

It will see that many countries are now pumping a lot of money into the system.
And in many countries, I used to do heavy QE before.

For example, the case of the USA.
There has been a lot of money pumping into the economic system in the past 10 years.
Since the 2008 US Real Estate Bubble crisis.

Interesting is that US inflation rates aren't adjusted to much higher like the cases of Hungary and Venezuela.
2010 US average inflation rate equates to 1.6 %
2019 US average inflation rate equates to 1.8 %

Japan is another country where xỳāng h̄nạk measures are taken.
But inflation is still at low near 0 % as well.

Why is the story like this?

This phenomenon is partly because
US and Japan central banks make QE through asset purchases.
Both bonds, shares, loan from commercial banks.
And commercial banks are responsible for re-releasing money into the economy.

But what happens is that commercial banks don't forward the money they get from central banks.
To the business and household sector as everyone thought at first.

The cause is because during economic recession or slowdown.
Household sector tends to save money rather than bring money to spend.
Due to insecure future economic

For example, in USA.
The deposit amount in the COVID-19 pre-birth system is around 416 trillion baht.
But when COVID-19 goes viral, deposits in the system increase to almost 500 trillion baht.
Within just a few months

Meanwhile, a bad economic situation.
Making selling business sector products and services difficult.
Making production and service still very much available.
Business sector may not require a loan to expand business.

Enough demand for products and services doesn't increase higher.
Well, things don't go much higher.
Even with lots of money in the system

Another point is.
Countries with large economies like USA and Japan
Own the world's main currency with high credibility.
Most people still believe and still demand to hold these currency.

In conclusion, if you ask for QE making of big countries today.
Will it lead to severe inflation in the future?
I have to say that this problem can be difficult for big countries like USA and Japan.

But the point is, this plague crisis doesn't know when it ends.
And countries inject money log in
For a country which is economically stable as a big country, it might be careful.
Because those countries may have severe inflation, different from this case..
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References
-https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyperinflation
-https://nomadcapitalist.com/2014/04/20/top-5-worst-cases-hyperinflation-history/
-https://www.businessinsider.com/hungarys-hyperinflation-story-2014-4
-https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyperinflation_in_Venezuela
-https://www.thestreet.com/investing/federal-reserve-unveils-unlimited-qe-to-confront-coronavirus
-https://www.schroders.com/en/bm/asset-management/insights/economic-views/bank-of-japan-ramps-up-qe-again-amid-dismal-outlook/
-https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_recenttrends.htm
-https://www.focus-economics.com/countries/japan/news/inflation/core-consumer-prices-hold-steady-in-june-in-annual-terms
- https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/projections/html/ecb.projections202006_eurosystemstaff~7628a8cf43.en.html#toc3
-https://www.economicshelp.org/blog/2900/inflation/inflation-and-quantitative-easing/
-https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DPSACBW027SBOGTranslated

【《紐約時報》投稿 —— Joshua Wong: Hong Kong Still Has Many Ways to Resist】

當下時勢，投稿到外媒，好像會被質疑玩命，但我仍想盡力發聲。

Ever since a new round of pro-democracy protests broke out in Hong Kong last year, journalists from both local and global media have exposed how freedoms are shrinking, human rights are deteriorating and police brutality is worsening in the city.

Now, with new sweeping powers under the national security law that China promulgated for Hong Kong on June 30, the news media themselves are in the Chinese government’s crosshairs.

The publisher Jimmy Lai, whose media company puts out the popular tabloid Apple Daily, has long been one of Beijing’s most vocal critics in HK. Mr.Lai was arrested on Monday morning under the recent law, for allegedly colluding with foreign forces.

The paper’s office was raided by dozens of police. Lai was released on bail late Tues night. A special unit has been created in the Immigration Department to vet visa applications that are deemed to be sensitive, including for foreign correspondents, according to The Standard.

The Hong Kong police now grants access to ground operations only to “trusted media outlets”: On Monday, reporters from Reuters, Agence France-Presse and The Associated Press, among others, reportedly were blocked from the scene of the raid at Apple Daily. Police cordoned off the headquarters of the tabloid Apple Daily after Lai’s arrest. Freedom of speech and of the press, both vital to the rule of law and the city’s vibrancy, are under attack.

China is extending to HK the regime of media regulation and repression that it applies on the mainland. Today, it’s the media. Yesterday, it was legislators, contenders to political office & activists: Recently, just after disqualifying pro-democracy candidates from running in elections scheduled for Sep, the HK authorities delayed by a year — paving the way, I think, for their being cancelled. Tmr, who knows who will be China’s next targets. But I do know that many HKers will respond then, too, by demonstrating our solidarity, creatively.

In a show of support for Mr. Lai and Apple Daily, people have been buying up shares of his media company: The stock’s price surged by 1,200 percent in less than two days. I began writing this Op-Ed on Monday evening. A few hours later I learned that Agnes Chow, a former colleague and ex-member of our political group Demosisto, was arrested, also for violating the national security law — also for allegedly “colluding with foreign forces.”

But Agnes had quit Demosisto on the morning of June 30, before the new law went into effect and its text was released, and she had ceased all activism; she even stopped updating her Twitter account. (She, too, was released on bail Tuesday night.) Before her arrest she had been tailed by unknown agents for days, she said. An infrared camera had been installed in front of the main entrance to her home, according to a neighbour. I fear that other dissenting voices in HK will also face this kind of surveillance, harassment & persecution.

On Tues, the Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress in Beijing announced that in light of the delayed election, the term of HK’s current legislature would be extended for “no less than one year.” Carrie Lam expressed her “heartfelt gratitude” for that decision. No limit has been placed on the term of this interim legislative body, meaning that it could be endlessly extended, with no further elections — more or less as happened in Taiwan during the island’s authoritarian decades, between the late 1940s and the early 1990s.

And yet, in the face of this darkest new era of censorship and repression, HK’s spirit of resistance is unflagging. Many HKers lined up in the early hours of Tuesday to buy the day’s edition of Apple Daily. Some groups bought up stashes of the paper to distribute for free to passers-by. More than 500,000 copies had to be printed in total, five times the usual. Hong Kongers will keep finding ways, big and small, to resist.

---------------------
支持我向世界展現香港人頑強抵抗的意志：https://www.patreon.com/joshuawong

ตอนนี้ทาง EA ก็ได้เปิดให้สั่งจองล่วงหน้า STAR WARS™: Squadrons บน Steam แล้วนะครัช โดยราคาอยู่ที่ 1,299 บาท
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รายละเอียดเพิ่มเติมดูที่หน้าร้านค้า
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ฝึกทักษะขับยานรบประจัญบานผ่านประสบการณ์ขับยานรบอันสมจริงใน STAR WARS™: Squadrons รัดเข็มขัดให้พร้อมแล้วมาปลุกอะดรีนาลีนให้เดือดพล่านในสมรภูมิอวกาศผ่านมุมมองบุคคลที่หนึ่ง พร้อมกับสหายฝูงบินรบของคุณในโหมดออนไลน์ และเรียนรู้ความหมายของการเป็นนักบินรบในโหมดเนื้อเรื่องสุดตื่นเต้นจาก STAR WARS™
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STAR WARS™: Squadrons จะเปิดให้เล่นอย่างเป็นทางการในวันที่ 3 ต.ค. นี้ บน PS4, XB1, Steam, Origin และ Epic Games Store
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ส่วน STAR WARS™: Squadrons บน Epic Games Store ตอนนี้ราคา $39.99 หรือราว 1240 บาท ถูกกว่านิดหน่อย แต่แนะนำว่า ไปรอให้เกมเปิดให้เล่นก่อน แล้วจะใช้คูปองลด $10 ตอน Mega Sale ได้ เหลือ $29.99 ประมาณ 930 บาท
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EA is now open for pre-order STAR WARS ™: Squadrons on Steam. cuddle hours. Price is 1,299 baht.
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Pre-orders will receive a bonus as an item. Change the appearance of battleship both New Republic and Empire.
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STAR WARS ™: Squadrons will officially open for play on Oct 3 July This on PS4, XB1, Steam, Origin and Epic Games Store
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STAR WARS ™: Squadrons on Epic Games Store are now $ 39.99 or around 1240 baht. It's a little cheaper but it's recommended that you wait for the game to be opened and you will use the coupon for $ 10 episodes. Mega Sale for $ 29.99 around 930 baht.
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For more details, check out the store page.
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★Cat Merch! https://crowdmade.com/collections/junskitchen

- 字幕は画面右下の字幕設定から、サイズ、色を、ドラッグで位置を変更できます。

Lets all take a moment to recognize Jun for his outstanding accomplishment of supporting me without complaint while I shopped for clothes for 3 1/2 hours!

This is a special type of thrift store (古着屋/furugiya, meaning old 古 clothes 着 store 屋) known as mai shuu sagaru (毎週下がる). 毎 means "every" 週 means "week" and 下がる means "lowers." The price on all clothing items lowers every week through a set schedule. This type of thrift store is the lowest end where brand clothes that can't be sold in higher end thrift stores are taken, and all other inexpensive clothing are sent for the purpose of super quick resale. The lowest price in this particular 毎週下がる古着屋 is only ￥100 (~$1).

You will also see 毎週下がる written out partially or completely in katakana: マイシュウサガール.

The store in the video is the マイシュウサガール branch of 買取王国　(kaitori oukoku): http://okoku.jp/

I am an admitted thrift store shopaholic in both America and Japan! My family didn't have the money to buy me new clothes growing up so I began shopping at thrift stores for myself as a teen. I would say that 90% of my clothes, shoes, and accessories have come from these stores. I LOVE thrift stores because it is like treasure hunting and they're so cheap!! Japanese thrift stores are especially incredible because the clothes are almost all young and fashionable compared to America where in the low-end thrift stores you have to dig through a sea of old people things to find anything decent! Almost everything I've worn in all of my videos have come from thrift stores. :) "Thrifting" as it's called is also great since you're having a positive impact on the environment by recycling and avoiding purchasing new products. I highly encourage everyone visiting Japan to seek out a mai shuu sagaru thrift store! Don't be intimidated by the thought of small Japanese sizes--there are plenty of larger and baggy clothes to be found as well. :)

日本の古着屋さんが大好き！！ ❤

Spanish subtitles thanks to: *See note below
Want to help subtitle our videos?
http://www.youtube.com/timedtext_video?v=_2ZntXiYRcc
YouTube stopped telling us who submits subtitles! Please message us so we can credit you!

【You can also find us:】
×Gaming channel: http://www.youtube.com/user/RachelandJunGame
×Extra videos: http://www.youtube.com/user/RachelandJunExtra
×Jun's Kitchen: http://www.youtube.com/user/JunsKitchen
×Twitch: http://www.twitch.tv/rachelandjun/profile
×Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/RachelAndJun
×Twitter: https://twitter.com/RachelAndJun
×Instagram: http://instagram.com/rachelandjun
×Our blog: http://rachelandjun.blogspot.com/

The songs are Heritage Place: http://www.joshwoodward.com/song/HeritagePlace
and Untitled: http://www.joshwoodward.com/song/Untitled
by Josh Woodward.

Use the Donchian Channel to time your entries, filter high-probability setups and ride massive trends.

SUBSCRIBE: https://bit.ly/2MsGjRR

If you want more actionable trading tips and strategies, go to https://www.tradingwithrayner.com

First and foremost, what is a Donchian Channel? How do I get this indicator on my chart? If you're using TradingView just go down to the Indicator Tab, search for Donchian, and you click this one over here, and here's what you see on your chart, the Donchian Channel. It comes with the default 20-period setting.

Tips for Trading with Donchian Channel #1
The first tip is that you can use Donchian Channel to help you filter for high-probability trading setups. It can help you to trade with the trend. Here's how. Let's say you want to buy with the trend. What you'll do is pay attention to the middle band and where the price is relative to the middle band. If the price is below the middle band, then you look for short trading opportunities. Means you look to sell. If the price is above the middle band, then you look for long trading opportunities, meaning you look to buy. This is a simple filter that will keep you on the right side of the markets more often than not.

Tips for Trading with Donchian Channel #2
The second thing a Donchian Channel can do for you is to help you time your entries. What you can do is you can look to trade the breakdown or the breakup. Can see that over here this candle over here pretty much made a new 20-day low. You can look to short the market, as the price made a new 20-day low. Alternatively, this candle over here made a new 20-day high, so you can look to buy the market as the price makes a new 20-day high. This is only to serve as an entry trigger. This is not a strategy but just an entry trigger.

Tips for Trading with Donchian Channel #3
The third thing a Donchian Channel can do for you is to help you ride massive trends. Here's how it works. You can see, right? Let's say, for example, you are short this market, this crude-oil market. Let's say the market breaks this low over here, this 20-day low, you go short. Let's say your stop-loss; it's above this swing high, let's say you put it somewhere here, one ATR above it, somewhere here. You can trail your stop-loss using this middle band over here. This means if the price doesn't break above the middle band, you will stay short, you will hold onto your short position.

Tips for Trading with Donchian Channel #4
The fourth tip is that the Donchian Channel works very well with the Average-True-Range indicator. Let me pull out this ATR indicator. We'll use the default settings, as well. I don't have to be too fancy on this. I like to look at the weekly chart. The thing that I like to look for is to see low volatility in the markets. I want to see that the ATR value is at multiyear lows. This means that the ATR value over the last two or three years, this is the lowest level. This is what I'm looking for.

If you want to learn more, you can go down to my website TradingWithRayner.com, and scroll down to the bottom, and you can see these two trading guides: The Ultimate Trend Following Guide and The Ultimate Guide to Price-Action Trading. If you want to learn how to ride massive trends in a market, go and download this guide over here, the trend-following guide, because I'll share with you practical trading strategies and techniques to ride massive trends.

If you want to learn more about price-action trading to better time your entries and exits you can download this Ultimate Guide to Price-Action Trading. Both of them are completely free. Just come down to my website, TradingWithRayner.com, click on this blue button, and I'll send it to your email, for free.

Thanks for watching!

FOLLOW ME AT:
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Rayner: 00:00 The first thing I want to share is that there is no way that you can 100% avoid a false break out. Because that's like saying, "How do I win 100% of the time in trading?" It doesn't exist. So embrace this fact that break outs will fail, no matter how beautiful the pattern is, how high probability the chart may look break outs can and will fail.

Rayner: 00:32 Once you accept this fact, I want to share with you three tips that I personally look for whenever I trade break outs. Number one trade break out with built up. So what is built up? Build up is basically a tight consolidation you see on your chart where the range of the candles get small and tight. That's called a 'build up', and typically like let's say, for example, I want to trade a break out of resistance, I will look for a build up at the highs of resistance. Meaning if the price comes into resistance, I want to see the range of the candle get tighter and tighter. Consolidating for about five to ten candles, before it breaks out.

Rayner: 01:05 Why do I want to see that? Because number one, you have a tighter stop loss which improves your risk to reward, because when there's a build up, you can just simple set your stop loss at a low of the build-up instead of the low of the entire range, which is pretty done wide. That's number one, a tighter stop loss that eventually offers you a better risk to reward. Number two, when you see a build-up, it's a sign of strength because it's telling you that buyers are willing to buy at these higher prices, willing to buy in front of resistance. This is a sign of strength, and these are the two reasons why I love to trade break outs with build up.

Rayner: 01:39 The second tip that I want to share with you is watch how the price action approaches the levels that you're looking to trade the breakout. Let's say for example again you want to trade resistance, you want to trade the break out of it, watch how the price action approach resistance. So what I want to see is higher lows coming into resistance, because this is a sign of strength, it's telling you that the buyers are willing to buy at again these higher prices. On top of it, it looks somewhat like an Ascending triangle, and it typically is from this type of stair-stepping price action to a point where it starts to coil very tightly, and again this is another form of a build up, and really more often than not, the market is likely to break up higher. Again, watch how the price action approach resistance. Ideally, you want to see higher lows coming into it.

Rayner: 02:22 The third thing I want to share with you is to let markets break out. If the market does break out and you are not in a trade, what you can do is to wait for the first pullback to occur, and this can appear in the form of a trend continuation trade, for example, a bullish flight path and a symmetrical triangle. These are possible chart pattern that you can trade, to trade the subsequent move higher.

Rayner: 02:55 These are the three tips I would like to share with you to find higher probability break out trades. That's all I have for you in today's episode. If you have any questions that you want me to answer, leave it in the comments section below so I can look into it and answer in the next episode.

If you want more actionable trading tips and strategies, go to https://www.tradingwithrayner.com

Thanks for watching!

FOLLOW ME AT:
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/groups/forextradingwithrayner
Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/rayner_teo
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