唉，果然沒幾天，就打臉自己了!
英國改變政策了，因為新科學模型數據顯示：
什麼都不做跟「減害」策略，會死太多人!
結論： 趕快採取壓制管制策略，限制群聚活動!
簡單說，亡羊補牢，怎麼補？
不曉得要多死多少人了！
沒幾天，就打臉自己了。
錯誤昏庸的政策殺人，比貪污更恐怖!!
「The crucial piece of evidence came from the scientists at Imperial College London who first realised the scale of the problem in China and whose advice is heavily influential in government.
They assessed three strategies:
Suppression - break chains of transmission, effectively trying to stop the epidemic in its tracks, and bring cases down as low as possible, as China has done
Mitigation - accept you cannot stop the coronavirus so slow its spread and prevent a massive peak in cases that would overwhelm the NHS while trying to protect those most at risk of severe disease, which appeared to be the UK strategy last week
Do nothing - and let the virus rip through the population
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It was on only Friday that Sir Patrick Vallance, the chief scientific adviser, explained the mitigation plan to the BBC.
He said: "Our aim is to try and reduce the peak, broaden the peak, not suppress it completely.
"Also, because the vast majority of people get a mild illness, to build up some kind of herd immunity so more people are immune to this disease."
If mitigation worked it would have avoided the most draconian measures other countries have used and built up immunity, which would help limit the spread of coronavirus.
Mitigation involves some social distancing strategies, while suppression beefs up those measures, including possible restriction of movement and increased periods of isolation.
The modelling projected that if the UK did nothing, 81% of people would be infected and 510,000 would die from coronavirus by August.
The mitigation strategy is better, but would still result in about 250,000 deaths and completely overwhelm intensive care in the NHS.
The experience of Italy, and the first cases in the UK, led to this dawning realisation.
Image copyrightGETTY IMAGES
Image caption
Doctors in Italy take a patient to intensive care
About 30% of cases that end up in hospital are expected to need intensive care, such as ventilators or ECMO machines, which take over the job of breathing from the lungs.
That is quite simply beyond the ability of the NHS to cope.
The analysis estimated the limits of intensive care would be "exceeded by at least eight-fold" even under the most optimistic mitigation plans.
"Even with the sort of interventions which were being planned and been announced last week, there would be a risk of intensive care units being overwhelmed," said Prof Neil Ferguson from Imperial.
The report concludes "suppression is the only viable strategy at the current time". It is hoped deaths could be limited to the thousands or tens of thousands.
The government has always said it is following the science and the science has changed profoundly.
Hence, we should be waving goodbye to pubs, clubs and theatres, work from home and isolate whole households if any one person becomes sick.」
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