Ray Dalio said a Joe Biden win will be a "negative initially" for markets but won't be bad in the longer term.
達里歐表示拜登當選股市短空長多。
Dalio said that if Joe Biden wins the presidency in November, the initial market reaction will most likely be "not good." Corporate tax rates will rise, capital gains rates will rise, and offshore income will be taxed more. And then, there will be large fiscal stimulus, he said.
若拜登當選，公司稅、資本利得稅、離岸所得稅都會增加，但之後會有大規模的財政刺激政策跟上。
The founder of Bridgewater Associates explained: "It's all a matter of money and spending." Dalio said that markets will do well in the long term if Biden were to raise spending, because this would depreciate the dollar and cause other assets like stocks to rise. He said this happened in the 1930s under President Roosevelt.
這只是開銷問題，如果拜登持續花錢，市場長期會越來越好。因為這會造成美元貶值而使如股市等資產價格提高。1930s 時就發生在羅斯福總統任內。
He added: "A Trump win I think would probably produce an initial beneficial reaction, probably longer, a little bit less. "
若是川普勝選是短期是利多，但長期效果會略輸拜登當選的劇本。
https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-election-biden-trump-win-effect-dalio-long-2020-9-1029575480#
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